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Hawks vs Bucks Prediction 3/14/26 NBA Picks Today

Milwaukee Bucks (27-38) vs. Atlanta Hawks (35-31)
March 14, 2026 3:00 pm EDT
The Line: Atlanta Hawks -8.5; Over/Under: 231.5
(Get latest betting odds)

The Milwaukee Bucks and Atlanta Hawks meet Saturday in NBA action at the State Farm Arena. Here’s a Hawks vs. Bucks prediction. This article will include a Hawks vs. Bucks pick.

Milwaukee Bucks Betting Preview

The Milwaukee Bucks lost to the Heat and Suns and play the Pacers next. The Bucks have lost 7 of their last 8 games.

The Milwaukee Bucks are averaging 111.3 points on 47.8 percent shooting and allowing 115.5 points on 46.5 percent shooting. Giannis Antetokounmpo is averaging 27.7 points and 10.1 rebounds, while Kevin Porter Jr. is averaging 17.5 points and 5.2 rebounds. Ryan Rollins is the third double-digit scorer, and Bobby Portis is grabbing 6.3 rebounds. The Milwaukee Bucks are shooting 38.8 percent from beyond the arc and 74 percent from the free throw line. The Milwaukee Bucks are allowing 36.6 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 41.5 rebounds per game.

Atlanta Hawks Betting Preview

The Atlanta Hawks beat the Nets and Mavs and play the Magic next. The Hawks have won 8 straight games.

The Atlanta Hawks are averaging 117.4 points on 46.9 percent shooting and allowing 117.3 points on 47.1 percent shooting. Jonathan Kuminga is averaging 21.3 points and 7.7 rebounds, while Jalen Johnson is averaging 22.7 points and 10.6 rebounds. Nickell Alexander-Walker is the third double-digit scorer, and CJ McCollum is grabbing 3.2 rebounds. The Atlanta Hawks are shooting 36.8 percent from beyond the arc and 77.6 percent from the free-throw line. The Atlanta Hawks are allowing 35.6 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 43.3 rebounds per game.

Why the Atlanta Hawks will win

  • The Hawks have won each of their last eight games.
  • The Bucks have lost each of their last six games against Eastern Conference opponents.
  • The Bucks have failed to cover the spread in each of their last six games against Eastern Conference opponents.
  • The favorites have covered the spread in eight of the Hawks’ last nine games at State Farm Arena.

Why the Milwaukee Bucks will win

  • The underdogs have won four of the last five games between the Bucks and Hawks.
  • The Hawks have lost four of their last five games as favorites against Central Division opponents.
  • The Hawks have failed to cover the spread in 15 of their last 17 home games against opponents who are on the first leg of a back-to-back.
  • The road team has covered the spread in each of the last four games between the Bucks and Hawks.

Total Points Facts

  • Seven of the Bucks’ last eight road games following a road loss have gone UNDER the total points line.
  • Each of the Hawks’ last seven Saturday games has gone OVER the total points line.

Atlanta Hawks Player Facts

  • Onyeka Okongwu is the only qualified player in the league to be leading their team in blocks per game (1.1) and three-point shooting percentage (38.8%) this season.
  • Jalen Johnson is one of only two qualified players in the league averaging at least 20.0 points, 10.0 rebounds and 5.0 assists this season.

Milwaukee Bucks Player Facts

  • Myles Turner is one of only two qualified players in the league averaging at least 1.5 threes and 1.5 blocks this season.
  • Kyle Kuzma ranks 22nd in the Eastern Conference amongst qualified players for FG% (49.1%) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

  • The Hawks rank 1st in the league for assists per game this season (30.3).
  • The Hawks have recorded the largest comeback win from a Q3 deficit this season—trailing by 18 points against the Suns on November 16.
  • The Bucks rank 30th in the league for offensive rebounds per game this season (8.7).
  • The Bucks rank 30th in the league for free throw percentage this season (73.2%).

Hawks vs Bucks Injury Report

Jonathan Kuminga is out for the Hawks.

Alex Antetokounmpo, Giannis Antetokounmpo, Ousmane Dieng, and Kevin Porter are questionable for the Bucks.

Hawks vs Bucks Prediction

The Bucks continue to lose and not cover numbers, and now they could be without Giannis again. The Bucks season is pretty much over; they don’t play defense and they’re not a team I’m excited to back. I said the Hawks would be a team to watch weeks ago and here they are with 8 straight wins. The Hawks are 9-1 SU and 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games. The additions of Kuminga and CJ have added life to this Hawks lineup and they have a pep in their step. These are two teams heading in different directions. I’m going to lay the points with the Hawks at home.

Randy Chambers's Free Pick: Atlanta Hawks -8.5

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Randy Chambers

Randy has covered sports betting since 2014 and writes about everything from NFL to WNBA. Follow Randy Chambers on Twitter.

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