Milwaukee Bucks (34-25) vs. Atlanta Hawks (28-33)
March 4, 2025 7:30 pm EDT
The Line: Atlanta Hawks +6; Over/Under: 241
(Get latest betting odds)
The Milwaukee Bucks and Atlanta Hawks meet Tuesday in NBA action at the State Farm Arena. Here’s a Hawks vs Bucks Prediction. This article will include a Hawks vs Bucks Pick.
Milwaukee Bucks Betting Preview
The Milwaukee Bucks beat the Nuggets and Mavs, and they play the Mavs, Magic, and Cavs next. The Bucks have won six of their last seven games, some of their best ball of the season. The Bucks are fighting for home court in the first round of the playoffs.
The Milwaukee Bucks are averaging 114.4 points on 47.9 percent shooting and allowing 112.5 points on 45.2 percent shooting. Giannis Antetokounmpo is averaging 30.9 points and 12.1 rebounds, while Damian Lillard is averaging 25.4 points and 4.7 rebounds. Kyle Kuzma is the third double-digit scorer and Bobby Portis is grabbing 8.1 rebounds. The Milwaukee Bucks are shooting 38.3 percent from beyond the arc and 74.7 percent from the free throw line. The Milwaukee Bucks are allowing 34.9 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 44 rebounds per game.
Atlanta Hawks Betting Preview
The Atlanta Hawks lost to the Thunder, beat the Grizzlies, and then play the Pacers, 76ers, and Hornets next. The Hawks are a brutal 6-14 since January 20 and have dropped to the ninth seed in the East.
The Atlanta Hawks are averaging 116.6 points on 46.3 percent shooting and allowing 119.5 points on 48.2 percent shooting. Trae Young is averaging 23.8 points and 3.1 rebounds, while Dyson Daniels is averaging 13.9 points and 5.5 rebounds. Onyeka Okongwu is the third double-digit scorer, and Zaccharie Risacher is grabbing 3.3 rebounds. The Atlanta Hawks are shooting 35 percent from beyond the arc and 76.9 percent from the free-throw line. The Atlanta Hawks are allowing 37.3 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 44.9 rebounds per game.
Why the Atlanta Hawks will win
- The Bucks have lost each of their last three games as road favorites following a road win.
- The Hawks have won four of their last six games as home underdogs against the Bucks.
- The Bucks have failed to cover the spread in each of their last six games as road favorites against Southeast Division opponents.
- The Hawks have covered the spread in seven of their last eight games after winning as underdogs.
Why the Milwaukee Bucks will win
- The Bucks have won nine of their last 10 games against Southeast Division opponents.
- The Hawks have lost each of their last five home games when playing with a rest disadvantage.
- The Hawks have failed to cover the spread in each of their last six home games when playing with a rest disadvantage.
- The favorites have covered the spread in each of the Hawks’ last four games at State Farm Arena.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Hawks rank 30th in the league for opponent free throw percentage this season (80.6%).
- The Hawks rank 30th in the league for H1 opponent points per game this season (61.4).
- The Bucks rank 30th in the league for offensive rebounds per game this season (8.5).
- The Bucks rank 2nd in the league for opponent blocks per game this season (4.0).
Hawks vs Bucks Injury Report
The Hawks won’t have Jalen Johnson, Georges Niang, Kobe Bufkin, Larry Nance Jr., and Vit Krejci.
The Milwaukee Bucks will be without Pat Connaughton due to a calf injury.
Hawks vs Bucks Prediction
The Hawks are coming off a big road upset over the Grizzlies and beat the Bucks less than a month ago, so you can talk yourself into the points. However, the Hawks have had issues stringing success together this season, and I doubt that changes at the end of a back-to-back. The Bucks are playing their most consistent ball of the season, and they’re 6-2-1 ATS in their last nine games. The Hawks being at home doesn’t matter much when you consider they’re 13-15 SU at home. The line isn’t anything crazy. I’ll lay the chalk with the Bucks on the road.
