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Hawks vs Hornets Prediction 3/12/25 NBA Picks Today

Charlotte Hornets (16-48) vs. Atlanta Hawks (31-34)
March 12, 2025 7:30 pm EDT
The Line: Atlanta Hawks -8; Over/Under: 234
(Get latest betting odds)

The Charlotte Hornets and Atlanta Hawks meet Wednesday in NBA action at the State Farm Arena. Here’s a Hawks vs Hornets Prediction. This article will include a Hawks vs Hornets Pick.

Charlotte Hornets Betting Preview

The Charlotte Hornets beat the Nets and Heat, and they play the Spurs, Clippers, and Knicks next. The Hornets look to win three straight games for the first time since January 15-20.


The Charlotte Hornets are averaging 105.4 points on 42.5 percent shooting and allowing 113 points on 46.5 percent shooting. LaMelo Ball is averaging 25.8 points and 5.3 rebounds, while Miles Bridges is averaging 20.9 points and 7.9 rebounds. Mark Williams is the third double-digit scorer and Nick Smith Jr. is grabbing 1.9 rebounds. The Charlotte Hornets are shooting 33.7 percent from beyond the arc and 77.8 percent from the free-throw line. The Charlotte Hornets are allowing 34.7 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 45.8 rebounds per game.

Atlanta Hawks Betting Preview

The Atlanta Hawks beat the Pacers and 76ers, and then play the Clippers, Nets, and Hornets next. The Hawks look to win four straight games for the first time since December 23-29.

The Atlanta Hawks are averaging 117.1 points on 46.6 percent shooting and allowing 119.7 points on 48.2 percent shooting. Trae Young is averaging 23.8 points and 3.1 rebounds, while Dyson Daniels is averaging 13.9 points and 5.6 rebounds. Onyeka Okongwu is the third double-digit scorer, and Zaccharie Risacher is grabbing 3.3 rebounds. The Atlanta Hawks are shooting 35.1 percent from beyond the arc and 76.9 percent from the free-throw line. The Atlanta Hawks are allowing 37.1 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 44.8 rebounds per game.

Why the Atlanta Hawks will win

  • The Hornets have lost 12 of their last 13 road games against Eastern Conference opponents after winning as underdogs.
  • The Hawks have won each of their last nine games as favorites against Eastern Conference opponents following a win.
  • The Hornets have failed to cover the spread in five of their last six games against Southeast Division opponents that held a losing record.
  • The favorites have covered the spread in six of the Hawks’ last eight games at State Farm Arena.

Why the Charlotte Hornets will win

  • The underdogs have won seven of the last 10 games between the Hornets and Hawks.
  • The Hawks have lost each of their last six Wednesday games against Hornets teams that held a losing record.
  • The underdogs have covered the spread in nine of the last 10 games between the Hornets and Hawks.
  • The Hawks have failed to cover the spread in seven of their last eight home games against Hornets teams that held a losing record.

Matchup/League Facts

  • The Hawks rank 30th in the league for opponent free throw percentage this season (80.7%).
  • The Hawks rank 30th in the league for Q2 opponent points per game this season (30.8).
  • The Hornets rank 30th in the league for field goal percentage this season (42.5%).
  • The Hornets have missed the playoffs in eight consecutive seasons – the longest active streak in the NBA

Hawks vs Hornets Injury Report

The Hawks won’t have Jalen Johnson, Kobe Bufkin, Larry Nance Jr., and Vit Krejci. Trae Young is questionable.

The Charlotte Hornets will be without Brandon Miller, Grant Williams, Tre Mann, and Josh Okogie.

Hawks vs Hornets Prediction

The Hawks are the better team and need to take advantage of games like this, but they’re also not a team I trust with big chalk. The Hawks are just a .500 team at home, and they’re 31-34 ATS on the season. Say what you want about the Hornets, but they’ve won two straight games and have covered three straight numbers.

The underdog has also covered nine of the last 10 games between the Hawks and Hornets, including the two games this year that were decided by a combined eight points. Oddsmakers are overreacting to the Hornets’ ugly losses and an injury report that’s not getting any better. We’re also seeing Young listed as questionable. There are better options out there, but give me the Hawks and the points if forced to pick.

Randy Chambers's Free Pick: Charlotte Hornets +8

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Randy Chambers

Randy has covered sports betting since 2014 and writes about everything from NFL to WNBA. Follow Randy Chambers on Twitter.

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