Hawks vs Mavericks Prediction 3/10/26 NBA Picks Today

The Dallas Mavericks and Atlanta Hawks meet Tuesday in NBA action at the State Farm Arena. Here’s a Hawks vs. Mavericks Prediction. This article will include a Hawks vs. Mavericks pick.

Dallas Mavericks Betting Preview

The Dallas Mavericks lost to the Raptors and Celtics, and they play the Grizzlies next. The Mavs have lost 17 of their last 19 games.

The Dallas Mavericks are averaging 114.4 points on 47.3 percent shooting and allowing 117.7 points on 46.8 percent shooting. Cooper Flagg is averaging 20.4 points and 4.1 assists, while Naji Marshall is averaging 15.2 points and 4.9 rebounds. PJ Washington is the third double-digit scorer, and Max Christie is grabbing 3.4 rebounds. The Dallas Mavericks are shooting 34.2 percent from beyond the arc and 74.5 percent from the free-throw line. The Dallas Mavericks are allowing 34.3 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 44.7 rebounds per game.

Atlanta Hawks Betting Preview

The Atlanta Hawks beat the 76ers and Bucks and play the Nets next. The Hawks have won 6 straight games.

The Atlanta Hawks are averaging 117.4 points on 46.9 percent shooting and allowing 117.3 points on 47.1 percent shooting. Jonathan Kuminga is averaging 21.3 points and 7.7 rebounds, while Jalen Johnson is averaging 22.7 points and 10.6 rebounds. Nickell Alexander-Walker is the third double-digit scorer, and CJ McCollum is grabbing 3.2 rebounds. The Atlanta Hawks are shooting 36.8 percent from beyond the arc and 77.6 percent from the free-throw line. The Atlanta Hawks are allowing 35.6 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 43.3 rebounds per game.

Why the Atlanta Hawks will win

• The Mavericks have lost each of their last 15 road games when playing with a rest disadvantage.
• The favorites have won each of the Hawks’ last 10 games at State Farm Arena.
• The Hawks have covered the spread in each of their last nine games against Southwest Division opponents that held a losing record.
• The Mavericks have failed to cover the spread in 11 of their last 12 games when playing with a rest disadvantage.

Why the Dallas Mavericks will win

• The Mavericks have won three of their last four games as underdogs against the Hawks.
• The Hawks have lost five of their last six home games against Southwest Division opponents.
• The Mavericks have covered the spread in eight of their last nine road games against Southeast Division opponents following a loss.
• The Hawks have failed to cover the spread in four of their last five games as home favorites against Western Conference opponents following a win.

Total Points Facts

• Each of the Mavericks’ last seven games as underdogs has gone UNDER the total points line.
• Six of the Hawks’ last seven home games against Western Conference opponents have gone UNDER the total points line.

Atlanta Hawks Player Facts

• Jalen Johnson is one of only two qualified players in the league averaging at least 20.0 points, 10.0 rebounds and 5.0 assists this season.
• Dyson Daniels ranks 5th amongst qualified players for steals per game (1.9) this season.

Dallas Mavericks Player Facts

• Daniel Gafford is one of only two players to have made 10+ field goals without a miss in a game this season.
• Klay Thompson ranks 2nd amongst qualified players for three-pointers made per 36 minutes (4.8) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Hawks rank 1st in the league for assists per game this season (30.5).
• The Hawks have recorded the largest comeback win from a Q3 deficit this season—trailing by 18 points against the Suns on November 16.
• The Mavericks rank 1st in the league for opponent three-point percentage this season (34.0%).
• The Mavericks rank 30th in the league for opponent field goal attempts per game this season (94.1).

Hawks vs Mavericks Injury Report

Jonathan Kuminga is questionable for the Hawks.

The Mavericks will be without Kyrie Irving and Dereck Lively II.

Hawks vs Mavericks Prediction

The Mavs are as healthy as they’ve been in weeks, but they’re not winning or covering enough to deserve a fair shake. I said two weeks ago that the Hawks are a team to keep an eye on, as the additions of Kuminga and CJ gave this group more life. The Hawks have won 6 straight games, and they’re 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games. This line is a bit inflated, but these teams are heading in different directions. The Mavs are waiting for the offseason, while the Hawks have a pep in their step and look like a sneaky good team that could be a headache in the play-in or playoffs. I’ll lay out the points.