Hawks vs Pacers Prediction 3/6/25 NBA Picks Today

The Indiana Pacers and Atlanta Hawks meet Thursday in NBA action at the State Farm Arena. Here’s a Hawks vs Pacers Prediction. This article will include a Hawks vs Pacers Pick.

Indiana Pacers Betting Preview

The Indiana Pacers beat the Bulls and Rockets, and they play the Hawks, Bucks, and 76ers next. The Pacers have won six of their last eight games and are fighting with the Bucks for a top-four seed and home-court advantage.

The Indiana Pacers are averaging 116.6 points on 49.2 percent shooting and allowing 115.1 points on 47.4 percent shooting. Pascal Siakam is averaging 20.6 points and 7.2 rebounds, while Tyrese Haliburton is averaging 18.5 points and 3.5 rebounds. Benedict Mathurin is the third double-digit scorer and Myles Turner is grabbing 6.5 rebounds. The Indiana Pacers are shooting 37.3 percent from beyond the arc and 78.5 percent from the free-throw line. The Indiana Pacers are allowing 35.7 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 41 rebounds per game.

Atlanta Hawks Betting Preview

The Atlanta Hawks lost to the Bucks, beat the Grizzlies, and then play the 76ers, Hornets, and Clippers next. The Hawks are a brutal 6-15 since January 20 and have dropped to the ninth seed in the East.

The Atlanta Hawks are averaging 117 points on 46.5 percent shooting and allowing 119.7 points on 48.3 percent shooting. Trae Young is averaging 23.6 points and 3.1 rebounds, while Dyson Daniels is averaging 14 points and 5.6 rebounds. Onyeka Okongwu is the third double-digit scorer, and Zaccharie Risacher is grabbing 3.3 rebounds. The Atlanta Hawks are shooting 35.2 percent from beyond the arc and 76.6 percent from the free-throw line. The Atlanta Hawks are allowing 37.2 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 44.7 rebounds per game.

Why the Atlanta Hawks will win

• The Pacers have lost five of their last six games as road favorites against Eastern Conference opponents following a win.
• The Hawks have won eight of their last 10 games as home underdogs following a home loss.
• The Pacers have failed to cover the spread in nine of their last 10 games as road favorites following a win.
• The home team has covered the spread in seven of the Pacers’ last eight games.

Why the Indiana Pacers will win

• The Pacers have won each of their last eight games against the Hawks following a home win.
• The Hawks have lost each of their last five games against Pacers teams that held a winning record.
• The favorites have covered the spread in each of the Hawks’ last five games at State Farm Arena.
• The Hawks have failed to cover the spread in each of their last four games as home underdogs.

Hawks vs Pacers Injury Report

The Hawks won’t have Jalen Johnson, Kobe Bufkin, Larry Nance Jr., and Vit Krejci.

The Pacers will be without Isaiah Jackson, while Bennedict Mathurin and Tyrese Haliburton are questionable.

Hawks vs Pacers Prediction

The Hawks are nine games below a .500 record since January 20, so I’m not excited to get involved with small numbers. If you’re grabbing the 2.5 points with the Hawks, you’re basically saying they have a great chance to win this game. I don’t believe it. The Pacers have been one of the better teams in the NBA under the 2025 calendar, and they’ve won five straight games against the Hawks. One of those wins came a month ago, when the Pacers dropped 132 points on the Hawk’s head. Check the injury report before betting, as the status on Haliburton is a big deal. Still, at the time of this writing, I like the Pacers and the small number.