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Hawks vs Pacers Prediction 3/8/25 NBA Picks Today

Indiana Pacers (35-26) vs. Atlanta Hawks (29-34)
March 8, 2025 7:30 pm EDT
The Line: Atlanta Hawks +2; Over/Under: 242.5
(Get latest betting odds)

The Indiana Pacers and Atlanta Hawks meet Saturday in NBA action at the State Farm Arena. Here’s a Hawks vs Pacers Prediction. This article will include a Hawks vs Pacers Pick.

Indiana Pacers Betting Preview

The Indiana Pacers beat the Rockets, lost to the Hawks, and they play the Bucks, Bulls, and 76ers next. The Pacers have won six of their last nine games and are fighting with the Bucks for a top-four seed and home-court advantage.



The Indiana Pacers are averaging 116.6 points on 49.2 percent shooting and allowing 115.1 points on 47.4 percent shooting. Pascal Siakam is averaging 20.6 points and 7.2 rebounds, while Tyrese Haliburton is averaging 18.5 points and 3.5 rebounds. Benedict Mathurin is the third double-digit scorer and Myles Turner is grabbing 6.5 rebounds. The Indiana Pacers are shooting 37.3 percent from beyond the arc and 78.5 percent from the free-throw line. The Indiana Pacers are allowing 35.7 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 41 rebounds per game.

Atlanta Hawks Betting Preview

The Atlanta Hawks lost to the Bucks, beat the Pacers, and then play the 76ers, Hornets, and Clippers next. The Hawks are a brutal 7-15 since January 20 and have dropped to the ninth seed in the East.

The Atlanta Hawks are averaging 117 points on 46.5 percent shooting and allowing 119.7 points on 48.3 percent shooting. Trae Young is averaging 23.6 points and 3.1 rebounds, while Dyson Daniels is averaging 14 points and 5.6 rebounds. Onyeka Okongwu is the third double-digit scorer, and Zaccharie Risacher is grabbing 3.3 rebounds. The Atlanta Hawks are shooting 35.2 percent from beyond the arc and 76.6 percent from the free-throw line. The Atlanta Hawks are allowing 37.2 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 44.7 rebounds per game.

Why the Atlanta Hawks will win

  • The Pacers have lost each of their last seven night games at State Farm Arena following a road loss.
  • The home team has won seven of the Pacers’ last eight games.
  • The Pacers have failed to cover the spread in each of their last six games against Southeast Division opponents that held a losing record.
  • The home team has covered the spread in eight of the Pacers’ last nine games.

Why the Indiana Pacers will win

  • The Hawks have lost each of their last nine Saturday games against Central Division opponents that held a winning record.
  • The Pacers have won eight of their last nine games following a loss.
  • The favorites have covered the spread in each of the Hawks’ last six games at State Farm Arena.
  • The Hawks have failed to cover the spread in each of their last four games as home underdogs.

Matchup/League Facts

  • The Hawks rank 30th in the league for opponent free throw percentage this season (80.7%).
  • The Hawks rank 30th in the league for H1 opponent points per game this season (61.5).
  • The Pacers rank 30th for second-chance points (649) this season.
  • The Pacers rank 30th for second-chance points per game (10.6) this season.

Hawks vs Pacers Injury Report

The Hawks won’t have Jalen Johnson, Kobe Bufkin, Larry Nance Jr., and Vit Krejci.

The Pacers will be without Isaiah Jackson and Bennedict Mathurin, while Tyrese Haliburton is questionable.

Hawks vs Pacers Prediction

You have to check the injury report for updates before betting on this game because Haliburton remains questionable. With that said, I still lean toward the Pacers and the small chalk. While the Hawks beat the Pacers a couple of days ago, it’s the Pacers that have won five of the last six games against them. The Pacers have also played the better ball over the last month or so, and they’re fighting for a quality seed. The Hawks have looked like a team that’s ready for the season to end for a while now. The Hawks are also two games below a .500 record at home. I’ll lay the small chalk with the Pacers.

Randy Chambers's Free Pick: Indiana Pacers -2

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Randy Chambers

Randy has covered sports betting since 2014 and writes about everything from NFL to WNBA. Follow Randy Chambers on Twitter.

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