Hawks vs Warriors Prediction 3/21/26 NBA Picks Today
Golden State Warriors (33-37) vs. Atlanta Hawks (38-32)
March 21, 2026 8:00 pm EDT
The Line: Atlanta Hawks -10.5; Over/Under: 229.5
(Get latest betting odds)
The Golden State Warriors and Atlanta Hawks meet Saturday in NBA action at the State Farm Arena. Here’s a Hawks vs. Warriors Prediction. This article will include a Hawks vs. Warriors Pick.
Golden State Warriors Betting Preview
The Golden State Warriors lost to the Celtics and Pistons and will play the Mavs next. The Warriors have lost 17 of their last 23 games.
The Golden State Warriors are averaging 115.3 points on 45.8 percent shooting and allowing 114.4 points on 47.3 percent shooting. Stephen Curry averages 27.2 points and 4.8 assists, while Brandin Podziemski averages 12 points and 3.5 assists. De’Anthony Melton is the third double-digit scorer, and Moses Moody is grabbing 3.3 rebounds. The Golden State Warriors are shooting 35.6 percent from beyond the arc and 80.5 percent from the free-throw line. The Golden State Warriors are allowing 35.4 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 43.4 rebounds per game.
Atlanta Hawks Betting Preview
The Atlanta Hawks beat the Mavs, lost to the Rockets, and play the Grizzlies next. The Hawks have won 11 of their last 12 games.
The Atlanta Hawks are averaging 118.1 points on 47.3 percent shooting and allowing 116.6 points on 47.3 percent shooting. Jalen Johnson is averaging 22.9 points and 10.5 rebounds, while Nickeil Alexander-Walker is averaging 20.3 points and 3.5 rebounds. CJ McCollum is the third double-digit scorer, and Jonathan Kuminga is grabbing 8 rebounds. The Atlanta Hawks are shooting 36.9 percent from beyond the arc and 77.3 percent from the free-throw line. The Atlanta Hawks are allowing 35.6 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 43.5 rebounds per game.
Why the Atlanta Hawks will win
- The Hawks have won each of their last nine home games.
- The Warriors have lost each of their last seven games against Eastern Conference opponents that held a winning record.
- The Hawks have covered the spread in each of their last six home games against the Warriors.
- The Warriors have failed to cover the spread in seven of their last eight games at State Farm Arena.
Why the Golden State Warriors will win
- The Hawks have lost seven of their last eight games on the second leg of a back-to-back against the Warriors.
- The Warriors have won four of their last six games on the road as underdogs following a loss.
- The Hawks have failed to cover the spread in seven of their last eight games as home favorites following a road loss.
- The Warriors have covered the spread in six of their last seven games as road underdogs following a loss.
Total Points Facts
- Each of the Hawks’ last eight games with both teams on the second leg of a back-to-back have gone UNDER the total points line.
- Each of the Warriors’ last seven games with both teams on the second leg of a back-to-back have gone UNDER the total points line.
Atlanta Hawks Player Facts
- Jalen Johnson is one of only two qualified players in the league averaging at least 20.0 points, 10.0 rebounds and 5.0 assists this season.
- Nickeil Alexander-Walker ranks 3rd in the league for fast break points (267) this season.
Golden State Warriors Player Facts
- Will Richard ranks 7th amongst qualified players for steals per 36 minutes (2.2) this season.
- Draymond Green is one of only seven qualified players in the league to be leading their team in rebounds (5.6) and assists (5.3) per game this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Hawks rank 1st in the league for assists per game this season (30.3).
- The Hawks have recorded the largest comeback win from a Q3 deficit this season—trailing by 18 points against the Suns on November 16.
- The Warriors rank 30th in the league for opponent free throw percentage this season (80.7%).
- The Warriors rank 1st in the league for three-point field goal attempts per game this season (45.0).
Hawks vs Warriors Injury Report
Jonathan Kuminga is out for the Hawks.
The Warriors will be without Jimmy Butler, Stephen Curry, Seth Curry, Al Horford, and Moses Moody. Quinten Post is questionable.
Hawks vs Warriors Prediction
The Warriors are still banged up and still losing, and I doubt things turn around on the end of a back-to-back. The Hawks saw their winning streak end last night but they’ve still won 11 of their last 12 games and have covered 8 of their last 10 games. It’s a big line for two teams on the end of a back to back but the Hawks are in much better shape. The Warriors aren’t attractive until they get some guys back from injury. Unfortunately, it might be too little too late at that point. Anyway, give me the Hawks in a home blowout victory.

