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Hawks vs Warriors Prediction 3/22/25 NBA Picks Today

Golden State Warriors (41-29) vs. Atlanta Hawks (33-36)
March 22, 2025 7:00 pm EDT
The Line: Atlanta Hawks +2.5; Over/Under: 229
(Get latest betting odds)

The Golden State Warriors and Atlanta Hawks meet Saturday in NBA action at the State Farm Arena. Here’s a Hawks vs Warriors Prediction. This article will include a Hawks vs Warriors Pick.

Golden State Warriors Betting Preview

The Golden State Warriors beat the Bucks and Raptors, and they play the Heat, Pelicans, and Spurs next. The Warriors have won 14 of their last 16 games. Four of the Warriors last five losses have come on the road.



The Golden State Warriors are averaging 113.3 points on 45 percent shooting and allowing 110.8 points on 46.3 percent shooting. Stephen Curry averages 24.2 points and 6 assists, while Jimmy Butler averages 17.2 points and 6.4 assists. Jonathan Kuminga is the third double-digit scorer and Buddy Hield is grabbing 3.3 rebounds. The Golden State Warriors are shooting 36.3 percent from beyond the arc and 75.4 percent from the free-throw line. The Golden State Warriors are allowing 36 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 45.7 rebounds per game.

Atlanta Hawks Betting Preview

The Atlanta Hawks lost to the Nets, beat the Hornets, and then play the 76ers, Rockets, and Heat next. The Hawks have won six of their last nine games. The Hawks are currently the seventh seed in the East.

The Atlanta Hawks are averaging 117.3 points on 46.7 percent shooting and allowing 119.4 points on 48.3 percent shooting. Trae Young is averaging 24.1 points and 3.2 rebounds, while Dyson Daniels is averaging 13.9 points and 5.6 rebounds. Onyeka Okongwu is the third double-digit scorer, and Zaccharie Risacher is grabbing 3.3 rebounds. The Atlanta Hawks are shooting 35.3 percent from beyond the arc and 77.4 percent from the free-throw line. The Atlanta Hawks are allowing 37.3 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 44.7 rebounds per game.

Why the Atlanta Hawks will win

  • The home team has won each of the last eight games between the Warriors and Hawks.
  • The Warriors have lost each of their last five games at State Farm Arena.
  • The home team has covered the spread in each of the last eight games between the Warriors and Hawks.
  • The Warriors have failed to cover the spread in seven of their last eight games as favorites following a win.

Why the Golden State Warriors will win

  • The Warriors have won each of their last 10 games against Southeast Division opponents that held a losing record.
  • The Hawks have lost each of their last 10 games as underdogs against Western Conference opponents following a win.
  • The favorites have covered the spread in each of the last 11 games between the Warriors and Hawks.
  • The Hawks have failed to cover the spread in each of their last six games against Pacific Division opponents following a win.

Matchup/League Facts

  • The Hawks rank 30th in the league for opponent free throw percentage this season (80.7%).
  • The Hawks rank 2nd in the league for assists per game this season (29.2).
  • The Warriors rank 28th in the league for free throw percentage this season (75.4%).
  • The Warriors rank 3rd in the league for three-point field goal attempts per game this season (42.2).

Hawks vs Warriors Injury Report

The Hawks won’t have Clint Capela, Larry Nance Jr., Jalen Johnson, and Kobe Bufkin.

The Warriors will be without Stephen Curry due to a pelvis injury. Gary Payton II is questionable for the Warriors with a knee injury.

Hawks vs Warriors Prediction

The Hawks at home in the underdog role is intriguing, especially when they haven’t played in four days. The Hawks are rested and should be motivated as they fight to hold onto the seventh seed in the East. The Warriors are down Curry, and it will be interesting to see where the offense comes from. I’m still laying the bucket with the Warriors, one of the hotter teams in the NBA since trading for Jimmy Butler.

The Warriors have won nine of their last 10 games. The Hawks have improved these last couple of weeks, but they’re still three games below a .500 record and 33-36 ATS on the season. The Hawks are also just 17-17 SU at home. The Hawks lose a lot in games they probably should win. Even without Chef Curry, I’ll lay the bucket with the Warriors.

Randy Chambers's Free Pick: Golden State Warriors -2.5

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Randy Chambers

Randy has covered sports betting since 2014 and writes about everything from NFL to WNBA. Follow Randy Chambers on Twitter.

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