Heat vs Cavaliers Prediction 11/12/25 NBA Picks Today

The Cleveland Cavaliers and Miami Heat meet Wednesday in NBA action at the Kaseya Center. Here’s a Heat vs Cavaliers Prediction. This article will include a Heat vs Cavaliers Pick.

Cleveland Cavaliers Betting Preview

The Cleveland Cavaliers beat the Bulls, lost to the Hear, and they play the Raptors next. The Cavs have won 7 of their last 10 games.

The Cleveland Cavaliers are averaging 122.3 points on 45.5 percent shooting and allowing 117.8 points on 46.5 percent shooting. Donovan Mitchell is averaging 30.7 points and 5.1 assists, while Evan Mobley is averaging 20 points and 4.2 assists. De’Andre Hunter is the third double-digit scorer and Jarrett Allen is grabbing 7.8 rebounds. The Cleveland Cavaliers are shooting 36. percent from beyond the arc and 76.1 percent from the free throw line. The Cleveland Cavaliers are allowing 37.3 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 43.5 rebounds per game.

Miami Heat Betting Preview

The Miami Heat beat the Cavs and Trail Blazers, and they play the Knicks next. The Heat have won 15 their last 23 regular season games.

The Miami Heat are averaging 125.6 points on 49.8 percent shooting and allowing 119.9 points on 43.6 percent shooting. Norman Powell is averaging 23.3 points and 4.6 rebounds, while Bam Adebayo is averaging 19.9 points and 2.9 assists. Andrew Wiggins is the third double-digit scorer, and Jaime Jaquez Jr. is grabbing 7 rebounds. The Miami Heat are shooting 37.7 percent from beyond the arc and 80.6 percent from the free-throw line. The Miami Heat are allowing 32.2 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 44.5 rebounds per game.

Why the Miami Heat will win

• The Cavaliers have lost each of their last 18 games at Kaseya Center following a loss.
• The home team has won eight of the Heat’s last nine games.
• The Cavaliers have failed to cover the spread in each of their last nine road games against Southeast Division opponents following a loss.
• The Heat have covered the spread in each of their last seven home games following a home win.

Why the Cleveland Cavaliers will win

• The Heat have lost each of their last eight games as favorites against Central Division opponents.
• The Cavaliers have won 13 of their last 14 night games against Southeast Division opponents.
• The Heat have failed to cover the spread in each of their last 14 games as favorites against Central Division opponents following a win.
• The Cavaliers have covered the spread in each of their last eight games as road underdogs against Eastern Conference opponents.

Total Points Facts

• Each of the Cavaliers’ last six road games against the Heat following a road loss have gone OVER the total points line.
• Each of the Heat’s last eight Wednesday home games have gone OVER the total points line.

Miami Heat Player Facts

• Davion Mitchell has recorded 11 games with 4+ assists this season – equal-most of any player in the league.
• Jaime Jaquez Jr. has recorded 12+ rebounds in two consecutive appearances – equal-longest active streak of any player in the league.

Cleveland Cavaliers Player Facts

• Dean Wade ranks 3rd amongst qualified players for assist:turnover ratio (6.0) this season.
• Sam Merrill ranks 3rd amongst qualified players for three-pointers made per 36 minutes (5.5) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Heat rank 1st in the league for points per game this season (125.5).
• The Heat rank 1st in the league for assists per game this season (30.5).
• The Cavaliers rank T1st in the league for three-point field goals made per game this season (17.0).
• The Cavaliers rank 1st in the league for three-point field goal attempts per game this season (47.1).

Heat vs Cavaliers Injury Report

The Heat will be without Tyler Herro, Terry Rozier, and Bam Adebayo.

The Cavs will be without Max Strus, Darius Garland, Donovan Michell, Evan Mobley, and Jaylon Tyson. Larry Nance Jr. is questionable with a knee issue.

Heat vs Cavaliers Prediction

The Heat just beat the Cavs a couple of days ago as big underdogs and continue to show this ridiculous pace and scoring ability. I’ve been banging the drum for the Heat over these last couple of weeks and am excited to see them with Bam and Herro at some point. As for this game, it has to be the Heat again, as the Cavs are sitting the bulk of their rotation due to rest. I’m honestly surprised this line isn’t steeper, given the Cavs are pretty much waving the white flag. I’ll lay the points, as this should be a double-digit win for Miami.