Cleveland Cavaliers (6-6) vs. Miami Heat (5-6)
November 13, 2026 8:00 pm EDT
The Line: Miami Heat -1.5; Over/Under: 237.5
(Get latest betting odds)
Heat vs Cavaliers Prediction
I’ve been critical of the Heat, as the offense still looks clunky and the defense isn’t good despite having some of the best defenders in the world. This is a weird team right now. With that said, the Cavs are unpredictable, and they don’t cover numbers. The Cavaliers had a massive cover issue last season, and they’re 4-8 ATS this season. The Cavs are 2-4 SU on the road, and this could be a bit of a letdown spot after a big road win over the Knicks.
We’re also seeing Mobley out with a toe issue, which isn’t ideal when going up against a front court of Bam and Antetokounmpo. Also, for what it’s worth, the Heat have won 5 of their last 7 games, so the sky isn’t completely falling. Many of those wins have come against bad teams and the games have been ugly, but wins are wins. We’re not being asked to lay much. I’ll back the Heat and the small chalk on Friday night.
Cleveland Cavaliers Betting Preview
The Cleveland Cavaliers lost to the Hornets, beat the Knicks, and they play the Mavs next. The Cavs have lost 4 of their last 6 games. The Cavs are 2-4 SU on the road, 4-2 SU at home, and 4-8 ATS on the season.
The Cleveland Cavaliers are averaging 116.5 points per game on 46.4 percent shooting and allowing 114.3 points per game on 44.6 percent shooting. Donovan Mitchell is averaging 22.8 points and 5.5 assists per game. Evan Mobley is averaging 16.9 points and 3.6 assists per game. James Harden is averaging 16.7 points and 5.6 assists per game. Meleek Thomas is averaging 13.1 points and 2.8 rebounds per game. The Cleveland Cavaliers are shooting 36.9 percent from beyond the arc and 75.4 percent from the free-throw line. The Cleveland Cavaliers are allowing 35.5 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 45.7 rebounds per game.
Miami Heat Betting Preview
The Miami Heat beat the Kings and Jazz, and they play the Pistons next. The Heat have won 5 of their last 7 games. The Heat are 4-3 SU on the road, 1-3 SU at home, and 2-9 ATS on the season.
The Miami Heat are averaging 115.8 points per game on 46.2 percent shooting and allowing 120 points per game on 48.8 percent shooting. Giannis Antetokounmpo is averaging 27.7 points and 12.6 rebounds per game. Bam Adebayo is averaging 17.8 points and 3.3 assists per game. Davion Mitchell is averaging 16.5 points and 8.5 assists per game. Klay Thompson is averaging 14.4 points and 1.9 assists per game. The Miami Heat are shooting 33.8 percent from beyond the arc and 72.3 percent from the free-throw line. The Miami Heat are allowing 39.4 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 41.9 rebounds per game.
Heat vs Cavaliers Injury Report
Giannis Antetokounmpo is probable for the Heat despite a wrist issue. Pelle Larsson is questionable with an illness. Klay Thompson is questionable with ankle soreness.
The Cavs will be without Sam Merrill with an elbow injury. Nae’Qwan Tomlin is out with a back injury. Evan Mobley is out with a toe injury.
Why the Miami Heat will win
- The Cavaliers have lost each of their last eight games at Kaseya Center when playing with a rest disadvantage.
- The Heat have won each of their five previous home games on the first leg of a back-to-back against the Cavaliers.
- The Cavaliers have failed to cover the spread in each of their last seven games when playing with a rest disadvantage against the Heat.
- The home team has covered the spread in each of the Heat’s last six games.
Why the Cleveland Cavaliers will win
- The Cavaliers have won each of their last 10 night games on the first leg of a back-to-back.
- The Heat have lost four of their last five games as home favorites when playing with a rest advantage.
- The Heat have failed to cover the spread in each of their last eight home games against opponents who are on the first leg of a back-to-back.
- The Cavaliers have covered the spread in each of their last six road games on the first leg of a back-to-back against Eastern Conference opponents.
Total Points Facts
- Each of the Heat’s last eight games as home favorites against opponents who are on the first leg of a back-to-back have gone OVER the total points line.
- Each of the Cavaliers’ last six night games at Kaseya Center have gone OVER the total points line.
