Atlanta Hawks (35-37) vs. Miami Heat (31-41)
March 27, 2025 7:30 pm EDT
The Line: Miami Heat -1.5; Over/Under: 227.5
(Get latest betting odds)
The Atlanta Hawks and Miami Heat meet on Thursday in NBA action at the Kaseya Center. Here’s a Heat vs Hawks Prediction. This article will include a Heat vs Hawks Pick.
Atlanta Hawks Betting Preview
The Atlanta Hawks beat the 76ers, lost to the Rockets, and then play the Bucks, Trail Blazers, and Mavs next. The Hawks have won seven of their last 10 games. The Hawks are currently the seventh seed in the East.
The Atlanta Hawks are averaging 117.4 points on 46.8 percent shooting and allowing 119.3 points on 48.2 percent shooting. Trae Young is averaging 24.1 points and 3.2 rebounds, while Dyson Daniels is averaging 13.9 points and 5.6 rebounds. Onyeka Okongwu is the third double-digit scorer, and Zaccharie Risacher is grabbing 3.3 rebounds. The Atlanta Hawks are shooting 35.4 percent from beyond the arc and 77.2 percent from the free-throw line. The Atlanta Hawks are allowing 37.4 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 44.7 rebounds per game.
Miami Heat Betting Preview
The Miami Heat beat the Hornets and Warriors, and they play the 76ers, Wizards, and Celtics next. The Heat look for three straight wins for the first time since January 7-11. The Heat are currently the 10th seed in the East.
The Miami Heat are averaging 109.2 points on 46 percent shooting and allowing 110.6 points on 46.6 percent shooting. Tyler Herro is averaging 23.5 points and 5.3 rebounds, while Andrew Wiggins is averaging 21 points and 3.9 rebounds. Bam Adebayo is the third double-digit scorer, and Terry Rozier is grabbing 3.8 rebounds. The Miami Heat are shooting 35.9 percent from beyond the arc and 79.2 percent from the free-throw line. The Miami Heat are allowing 36 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 42.9 rebounds per game.
Why the Miami Heat will win
- The Heat have won 18 of their last 19 home games against Southeast Division opponents following a win.
- The Hawks have lost each of their last six Thursday road games.
- The home team has covered the spread in each of the Heat’s last six games.
- The Hawks have failed to cover the spread in each of their last seven Thursday games as road underdogs.
Why the Atlanta Hawks will win
- The Heat have lost each of their last five games as favorites against Eastern Conference opponents following a win.
- The Hawks have won each of their last two games as road underdogs following a loss.
- The Heat have failed to cover the spread in each of their last seven games as favorites against Eastern Conference opponents following a win.
- The Hawks have covered the spread in each of their last four games.
Total Points Facts
- Seven of the Hawks’ last eight games at Kaseya Center following a road loss have gone UNDER the total points line.
- Ten of the Heat’s last 12 games as favorites following a home win have gone OVER the total points line.
Heat vs Hawks Injury Report
The Miami Heat will be without Nikola Jovic and Dru Smith. Duncan Robinson and Alec Burks are questionable.
The Hawks won’t have Clint Capela, Larry Nance Jr., Jalen Johnson, and Kobe Bufkin.
Heat vs Hawks Prediction
The Hawks and the bucket are worth a look when you consider they’re 7-3 SU and ATS in their last 10 games. The Heat have also been fade material over the last month. However, the Hawks are still a team that’s hard to have full confidence in given their reputation over the years.
The Hawks can go cold just as quickly as they get hot. Also, the Heat is coming off a big win over the Warriors, which was not only a feel-good win in terms of the Jimmy Butler situation, but it’s their best performance in a while. That win could have a carry-over effect. The Hawks have 19 road losses, while 17 of the Heat’s 31 wins have come at home. I’ve dogged the Heat for a while now, but this feels like a spot to back Miami.
