Heat vs Knicks Prediction 10/26/25 NBA Picks Today
NY Knicks (2-0) vs. Miami Heat (1-1)
October 26, 2025 6:00 pm EDT
The Line: Miami Heat +1.5; Over/Under: 228.5
(Get latest betting odds)
The NY Knicks and Miami Heat meet Sunday in NBA action at the Kaseya Center. Here’s a Heat vs Knicks Prediction. This article will include a Heat vs Knicks Pick.
NY Knicks Betting Preview
The NY Knicks beat the Cavs and Celtics, and they play the Bucks next. The Knicks haven’t started 3-0 since the 2012-13 season.
The NY Knicks are averaging 112 points on 40.7 percent shooting and allowing 103 points on 44.6 percent shooting. Jalen Brunson is averaging 27 points and 3.5 rebounds, while Karl-Anthony Towns is averaging 22.5 points and 2.5 assists. OG Anunoby is the third double-digit scorer, and Mikal Bridges is dishing 4 assists. The NY Knicks are shooting 36.5 percent from beyond the arc and 86.9 percent from the free-throw line. The NY Knicks are allowing 37.8 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 50.5 rebounds per game.
Miami Heat Betting Preview
The Miami Heat lost to the Magic, beat the Grizzlies, and they play the Hornets next. The Heat have split their last 10 regular season games.
The Miami Heat are averaging 133.5 points on 51.3 percent shooting and allowing 119.5 points on 43.2 percent shooting. Norman Powell is averaging 21.5 points and 7.5 rebounds, while Bam Adebayo is averaging 19.5 points and 3 assists. Jaime Jaquez Jr. is the third double-digit scorer, and Nikola Jovic is grabbing 4.5 rebounds. The Miami Heat are shooting 41.3 percent from beyond the arc and 77.6 percent from the free-throw line. The Miami Heat are allowing 33.3 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 52 rebounds per game.
Why the Miami Heat will win
- The Heat have won each of their last seven home openers against Atlantic Division opponents.
- The Knicks have lost three of their last four games as favorites following a win.
- The home team has covered the spread in each of the Knicks’ last five games.
- The Knicks have failed to cover the spread in each of their last four road games following a home win.
Why the New York Knicks will win
- The favorites have won each of the last 11 games between the Knicks and Heat.
- The Heat have lost each of their last nine games as home underdogs against Atlantic Division opponents.
- The road team has covered the spread in nine of the Heat’s last 10 games.
- The Heat have failed to cover the spread in each of their last five home games.
Total Points Facts
- Each of the Heat’s last six night games have gone OVER the total points line.
- Eight of the Knicks’ last nine night games at Kaseya Center have gone OVER the total points line.
Miami Heat Player Facts
- Davion Mitchell ranks T1st in the Eastern Conference amongst qualified players for assists per game (9.5) this season.
- Bam Adebayo is one of only five qualified players in the league to be leading their team in rebounds per game (8.5) and free-throw percentage (90.9%) this season.
New York Knicks Player Facts
- Mikal Bridges rank T3rd amongst qualified players for steals + blocks per game (4.0) this season.
- OG Anunoby ranks T4th amongst qualified players for steals per game (2.5) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Heat rank 1st in the league for points per game this season (133.5).
- The Heat rank 1st in the league for steals per game this season (12.0).
- The Knicks rank 1st in the league for opponent points per game this season (103.0).
- The Knicks rank 1st in the league for opponent assists per game this season (20.0).
Heat vs Knicks Injury Report
The Heat will be without Tyler Herro, Terry Rozier, and Kasparas Jakucionis.
The Knicks will be without Mitchell Robinson. Karl-Anthony Towns and Miles McBride are questionable.
Heat vs Knicks Prediction
The Knicks and the small chalk is intriguing when you consider they’ve won 5 of the last 6 games against the Heat. The Knicks are also off to a fine start defensively. However, the Heat have been one of the bigger surprises through the first week, as they actually have life offensively and have upped the pace from previous years.
What the Heat did to the Grizzlies on the road should have turned heads. I’m interested to see if it’s sustainable and can carry over to their home opener. The Heat have depth and are mixing in their youth a bit. This will be a game worth watching. I’ll grab the bucket with Miami.