NY Knicks (39-20) vs. Miami Heat (28-30)
March 2, 2025 6:00 pm EDT
The Line: Miami Heat +5.5; Over/Under: 224.5
(Get latest betting odds)
The NY Knicks and Miami Heat meet Sunday in NBA action at the Kaseya Center. Here’s a Heat vs Knicks Prediction. This article will include a Heat vs Knicks Pick.
NY Knicks Betting Preview
The NY Knicks beat the 76ers and Grizzlies, and they play the Warriors, Lakers, and Clippers next. The Knicks have a 12-4 record since January 20.
The NY Knicks are averaging 117.7 points on 49.3 percent shooting and allowing 112.9 points on 47.4 percent shooting. Jalen Brunson is averaging 26.1 points and 2.9 rebounds, while Karl-Anthony Towns is averaging 24.6 points and 3.2 assists. Mikal Bridges is the third double-digit scorer and OG Anunoby is grabbing 4.6 rebounds. The NY Knicks are shooting 37.3 percent from beyond the arc and 80.5 percent from the free throw line. The NY Knicks are allowing 37.7 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 42.8 rebounds per game.
Miami Heat Betting Preview
The Miami Heat beat the Hawks and Pacers, and they play the Wizards, Cavs, and Timberwolves next. The Heat look for three straight wins for the first time since January 7-11.
The Miami Heat are averaging 110.3 points on 45.7 percent shooting and allowing 110.8 points on 46.4 percent shooting. Tyler Herro is averaging 24.1 points and 5.4 rebounds, while Andrew Wiggins is averaging 17.8 points and 4.8 rebounds. Bam Adebayo is the third double-digit scorer and Terry Rosier is grabbing 4 rebounds. The Miami Heat are shooting 36.2 percent from beyond the arc and 79.5 percent from the free throw line. The Miami Heat are allowing 36 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 43.9 rebounds per game.
Why the Miami Heat will win
- The home team has won eight of the last nine games between the Knicks and Heat.
- The Knicks have lost each of their last six games against Heat teams that held a losing record.
- The Heat have covered the spread in each of their last six home games on the first leg of a back-to-back after winning as underdogs.
- The Knicks have failed to cover the spread in each of their last five games against Eastern Conference opponents.
Why the New York Knicks will win
- The Knicks have won each of their last 10 road games against opponents who are on the first leg of a back-to-back.
- The Heat have lost eight of their last nine games against Atlantic Division opponents that held a winning record.
- The Heat have failed to cover the spread in each of their last seven games against Eastern Conference opponents after winning as underdogs.
- The Knicks have covered the spread in each of their last six road games against Southeast Division opponents after winning as underdogs.
Total Points Facts
- Ten of the Heat’s last 11 home games have gone OVER the total points line.
- Seven of the Knicks’ last eight night games at Kaseya Center have gone OVER the total points line.
Heat vs Knicks Injury Report
The Miami Heat will be without Nikola Jovic and Dru Smith. Andrew Wiggins is doubtful, while Jaime Jaquez Jr. is questionable.
The Knicks will continue to be without Ariel Hukporti due to a meniscus injury.
Heat vs Knicks Prediction
The Knicks are the better team and should be favored, but they’re also 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games. The Heat are coming off back-to-back wins where the offense has finally shown signs of life. After struggling to reach the 100 point mark most nights, the Heat have averaged 128 points in their last two games. If that’s a sign the Heat are starting to figure things out, they’ll have their chances in this spot at home. The Heat went from looking like they were dead in the water to all of a sudden moving to the seventh seed and positioning themselves for a chance to sneak out of the play-in tournament. This should be a hard fought game from both sides. I want the points in my pocket with the Heat.
