Heat vs Mavericks Prediction 11/24/25 NBA Picks Today

The Dallas Mavericks and Miami Heat meet Monday in NBA action at the Kaseya Center. Here’s a Heat vs Mavericks Prediction. This article will include a Heat vs Mavericks Pick.

Dallas Mavericks Betting Preview

The Dallas Mavericks lost to the Grizzlies, beat the Pelicans, and they play the Lakers next. The Mavs have lost 18 of their last 25 games.

The Dallas Mavericks are averaging 110.8 points on 44.8 percent shooting and allowing 116.8 points on 45.5 percent shooting. Anthony Davis is averaging 20.8 points and 2.2 assists, while Cooper Flagg is averaging 15.5 points and 6.3 rebounds. PJ Washington is the third double-digit scorer, and Max Christie is grabbing 3.6 rebounds. The Dallas Mavericks are shooting 31.9 percent from beyond the arc and 74.2 percent from the free-throw line. The Dallas Mavericks are allowing 32.8 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 45.5 rebounds per game.

Miami Heat Betting Preview

The Miami Heat beat the Bulls and 76ers, and they play the Bucks next. The Heat have won 19 their last 29 regular season games.

The Miami Heat are averaging 124.8 points on 48.2 percent shooting and allowing 119 points on 43.3 percent shooting. Norman Powell is averaging 24.9 points and 3.8 rebounds, while Bam Adebayo is averaging 19.7 points and 3.1 assists. Andrew Wiggins is the third double-digit scorer, and Jaime Jaquez Jr. is grabbing 6.8 rebounds. The Miami Heat are shooting 38.3 percent from beyond the arc and 79.7 percent from the free-throw line. The Miami Heat are allowing 31.6 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 45.3 rebounds per game.

Why the Miami Heat will win

• The Mavericks have lost each of their last 13 games against teams that held a winning record.
• The Heat have won 11 of their last 12 games against Southwest Division opponents that held a losing record.
• The Heat have covered the spread in seven of their last eight home games.
• The Mavericks have failed to cover the spread in five of their last six games following a home loss.

Why the Dallas Mavericks will win

• The Mavericks have won 13 of their last 14 games against Southeast Division opponents following a loss.
• The Heat have lost three of their last four games as favorites on the second leg of a back-to-back.
• The Mavericks have covered the spread in each of their last six road games against Southeast Division opponents following a loss.
• The Heat have failed to cover the spread in four of their last five games as favorites on the second leg of a back-to-back.

Total Points Facts

• Eight of the Mavericks’ last nine games as underdogs following a home loss have gone OVER the total points line.
• Four of the Heat’s last five home games against Western Conference opponents have gone UNDER the total points line.

Miami Heat Player Facts

• Kel’el Ware has recorded 11+ rebounds in four consecutive appearances – equal-longest active streak of any player in the league.
• Jaime Jaquez Jr. ranks T5th in the league for points in the paint (208) this season.

Dallas Mavericks Player Facts

• D’Angelo Russell is one of only six players to have scored 30+ points off the bench in a game this season.
• P.J. Washington is one of only eight qualified players in the league averaging at least 1.0 threes, 1.0 steals and 1.0 blocks this season.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Heat rank 1st in the league for points per game this season (124.9).
• The Heat rank 1st in the league for assists per game this season (30.6).
• The Mavericks rank 1st in the league for opponent three-point field goals made per game this season (11.2).
• The Mavericks rank 30th in the league for Q2 points per game this season (25.2).

Heat vs Mavericks Injury Report

The Heat will be without Nikola Jovic, Andrew Wiggins, and Terry Rozier.

The Mavericks will be without Kyrie Irving, Dereck Lively II, Anthony Davis and Dante Exum. Brandon Williams is questionable.

Heat vs Mavericks Prediction

The Mavs continue to play bad basketball where the offense isn’t producing, and they’re still down many key players. Keep in mind, that’s with a heavy home schedule. The Heat keep winning and covering numbers and while they’re on the end of a back-to-back they’re expected to get a boost with the return of Tyler Herro.

The Heat are first in scoring, 11th in field goal percentage, fifth in three point percentage, and now they’re adding an all-star caliber scorer. The Heat are dangerous if they keep this up, and we’ve been on them a lot this season. No reason to turn back now. I’ll lay the chalk with the Heat.