Heat vs Nuggets Prediction 12/29/25 NBA Picks Today

The Denver Nuggets and Miami Heat meet Monday in NBA action at the Kaseya Center. Here’s a Heat vs Nuggets Prediction. This article will include a Heat vs Nuggets Pick.

Denver Nuggets Betting Preview

The Denver Nuggets beat the Timberwolves, lost to the Magic, and they play the Raptors next. The Nuggets have won 24 of their last 34 regular season games.

The Denver Nuggets are averaging 125.2 points on 51.5 percent shooting and allowing 116.6 points on 47 percent shooting. Nikola Jokic is averaging 28.9 points and 12 rebounds, while Jamal Murray is averaging 25.1 points and 4.4 rebounds. Aaron Gordon is the third double-digit scorer, and Tim Hardaway Jr. is grabbing 2.1 rebounds. The Denver Nuggets are shooting 40.6 percent from beyond the arc and 82 percent from the free-throw line. The Denver Nuggets are allowing 35 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 44.1 rebounds per game.

Miami Heat Betting Preview

The Miami Heat beat the Hawks and Pacers, and they play the Pistons next. The Heat have lost 8 of their last 11 games.

The Miami Heat are averaging 119.2 points on 47 percent shooting and allowing 117.6 points on 45.2 percent shooting. Norman Powell is averaging 23.7 points and 3.9 rebounds, while Tyler Herro is averaging 23.2 points and 2.3 assists. Bam Adebayo is the third double-digit scorer, and Jaime Jaquez Jr. is grabbing 5.5 rebounds. The Miami Heat are shooting 36.7 percent from beyond the arc and 78.2 percent from the free-throw line. The Miami Heat are allowing 34.5 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 45.4 rebounds per game.

Why the Miami Heat will win

• The Heat have won each of their last three games as home underdogs.
• The Heat have covered the spread in each of their last seven games as home underdogs following a win.
• The Nuggets have failed to cover the spread in 10 of their last 11 games as road favorites following a road loss.

Why the Denver Nuggets will win

• The Nuggets have won each of their last nine road games against Southeast Division opponents after losing as favorites.
• The Heat have lost 17 of their last 18 night games against Nuggets teams that held a winning record.
• The Nuggets have covered the spread in each of their last eight road games against the Heat.
• The Heat have failed to cover the spread in each of their last seven home games against Nuggets teams that held a winning record.

Total Points Facts

• Each of the Nuggets’ last six games as favorites following a road loss have gone OVER the total points line.
• Seven of the Heat’s last eight games as home underdogs following a home win have gone OVER the total points line.

Miami Heat Player Facts

• Davion Mitchell has recorded seven games with 5+ assists and zero turnovers this season – most of any player in the league.
• Dru Smith ranks 1st amongst qualified players for steals per 36 minutes (3.2) this season.

Denver Nuggets Player Facts

• Nikola Jokic ranks 1st amongst qualified players for assists per game (11.1) this season.
• Tim Hardaway Jr. has recorded 18 games with 1+ assists and zero turnovers this season – equal-most of any player in the league.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Heat rank 1st in the league for field goal attempts per game this season (92.9).
• The Heat rank 1st in the league for pace this season (104.2).
• The Nuggets rank 1st in the league for points per game this season (125.8).
• The Nuggets rank 1st in the league for field goal percentage this season (51.3%).

Heat vs Nuggets Injury Report

The Heat will be without Terry Rozier and Tyler Herro.

Christian Braun, Cameron Johnson, Tamar Bates, and Aaron Gordon are out for the Nuggets.

Heat vs Nuggets Prediction

The Heat will have Bam back and are coming off two decent wins, but it’s not enough for me to grab the small number. The Heat have been awful for much of the last two weeks and aren’t scoring enough points. The Nuggets have played their best ball o the road, where they’re 12-4 SU, and they’ve won 8 straight games against the Heat. That includes a 10-point win back in early November. It’s been 1,090 days since the Heat have beat the Nuggets. The Heat have to prove it to me. I’ll lay the bucket with the Nuggets on the road.