Heat vs Pelicans Prediction 1/4/26 NBA Picks Today

The New Orleans Pelicans and Miami Heat meet Sunday in NBA action at the Kaseya Center. Here’s a Heat vs Pelicans Prediction. This article will include a Heat vs Pelicans Pick.

New Orleans Pelicans Betting Preview

The New Orleans Pelicans lost to the Trail Blazers and Bulls, and they play the Lakers next. The Pelicans have lost 6 straight games.

The New Orleans Pelicans are averaging 115.6 points on 46.1 percent shooting and allowing 123.1 points on 48.8 percent shooting. Zion Williamson is averaging 22.7 points and 5.8 rebounds, while Trey Murphy III is averaging 20.5 points and 6.1 rebounds. Jordan Poole is the third double-digit scorer and Saddiq Bey is dishing 2.3 assists. The New Orleans Pelicans are shooting 34.1 percent from beyond the arc and 79 percent from the free-throw line. The New Orleans Pelicans are allowing 35.7 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 43.4 rebounds per game.

Miami Heat Betting Preview

The Miami Heat beat the Pistons, lost to the Timberwolves, and they play the Timberwolves next. The Heat have won 4 of their last 5 games.

The Miami Heat are averaging 119.2 points on 47 percent shooting and allowing 117.6 points on 45.2 percent shooting. Norman Powell is averaging 23.7 points and 3.9 rebounds, while Tyler Herro is averaging 23.2 points and 2.3 assists. Bam Adebayo is the third double-digit scorer, and Jaime Jaquez Jr. is grabbing 5.5 rebounds. The Miami Heat are shooting 36.7 percent from beyond the arc and 78.2 percent from the free-throw line. The Miami Heat are allowing 34.5 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 45.4 rebounds per game.

Why the Miami Heat will win

• The Pelicans have lost each of their last 10 road games against teams that held a winning record.
• The Heat have won each of their last seven home games against the Pelicans following a loss.
• The Pelicans have failed to cover the spread in each of their last seven games as underdogs against Southeast Division opponents.
• The Heat have covered the spread in 10 of their last 11 games against Pelicans teams that held a losing record.

Why the New Orleans Pelicans will win

• The Heat have lost three of their last four games as home favorites.
• The underdogs have won four of the Heat’s last six games.
• The road team has covered the spread in six of the last seven games between the Pelicans and Heat.
• The Heat have failed to cover the spread in four of their last five games when playing with a rest disadvantage.

Total Points Facts

• Each of the Heat’s last nine Sunday games as favorites have gone OVER the total points line.
• Each of the Pelicans’ last four games against Eastern Conference opponents have gone OVER the total points line.

Miami Heat Player Facts

• Andrew Wiggins is one of only five qualified players in the league averaging at least 1.0 threes, 1.0 steals and 1.0 blocks this season.
• Norman Powell ranks 10th amongst qualified players for fast break points per game (3.7) this season.

New Orleans Pelicans Player Facts

• Jordan Poole ranks 5th amongst qualified players for FT% (91.4%) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Heat rank 1st in the league for field goal attempts per game this season (93.1).
• The Heat rank 1st in the league for Q1 points per game this season (31.5).
• The Pelicans rank 30th in the league for opponent three-point field goal attempts per game this season (41.9).
• The Pelicans have recorded the largest comeback win from a HT deficit this season – trailed by 22 points vs Rockets on December 18.

Heat vs Pelicans Injury Report

The Heat will be without Terry Rozier and Tyler Herro. Pelle Larsson and Jaime Jaquez Jr. are questionable.

The Pelicans will be without Dejounte Murray, Saddiq Bey, and Herbert Jones. Derik Queen and Trey Murphy III are questionable.

Heat vs Pelicans Prediction

The Heat are going to be favored at home, especially when they’re 9-1 SU and 8-2 ATS in the last 10 games against the Pelicans. We still don’t know which Pelicans side is showing up night to night. Still, the Heat are banged up and on the end of a back to back. The Pelicans are rested and despite their issues on the road (2-12 SU), they’ve shown at times they can put together decent performances. The Heat sometimes do play down to their competition, and recent injuries to Larsson and JJJ do shorten the rotation. The Pels could hang in this game if they actually show up. Give me the points.