Heat vs Raptors Prediction 12/15/25 NBA Picks Today

The Toronto Raptors and Miami Heat meet Monday in NBA action at the Kaseya Center. Here’s a Heat vs Raptors Prediction. This article will include a Heat vs Raptors Pick.

Toronto Raptors Betting Preview

The Toronto Raptors lost to the Celtics and Knicks, and they play the Bucks next. The Raptors have lost 6 of their last 7 games.

The Toronto Raptors are averaging 115.8 points on 48.4 percent shooting and allowing 113.9 points on 46.6 percent shooting. Brandon Ingram is averaging 21.5 points and 5.8 rebounds, while Scottie Barnes is averaging 19.7 points and 7.8 rebounds. RJ Barrett is the third double-digit scorer, and Immanuel Quickly is dishing 6.2 assists. The Toronto Raptors are shooting 36.1 percent from beyond the arc and 76.7 percent from the free-throw line. The Toronto Raptors are allowing 33.7 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 42.3 rebounds per game.

Miami Heat Betting Preview

The Miami Heat lost to the Magic and Kings, and they play the Nets next. The Heat have lost 5 their last 6 games.

The Miami Heat are averaging 121.7 points on 47.8 percent shooting and allowing 118.2 points on 44.6 percent shooting. Norman Powell is averaging 24.6 points and 3.8 rebounds, while Tyler Herro is averaging 23.2 points and 2.3 assists. Bam Adebayo is the third double-digit scorer, and Andrew Wiggins is grabbing 4.9 rebounds. The Miami Heat are shooting 36.9 percent from beyond the arc and 78.6 percent from the free-throw line. The Miami Heat are allowing 33.5 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 45.4 rebounds per game.

Why the Miami Heat will win

• The Heat have won each of their last seven home games against the Raptors following a loss.
• The Raptors have lost eight of their last nine games at Kaseya Center against Heat teams that held a winning record.
• The Raptors have failed to cover the spread in each of their last eight games.
• The Heat have covered the spread in seven of their last eight games as favorites against the Raptors following a loss.

Why the Toronto Raptors will win

• The Raptors have won each of their last seven games as road underdogs against Southeast Division opponents.
• The Heat have lost three of their last four games as favorites.
• The Raptors have covered the spread in each of their last eight games as road underdogs against Southeast Division opponents.
• The Heat have failed to cover the spread in five of their last six games as favorites.

Total Points Facts

• Each of the Raptors’ last seven night games against Eastern Conference opponents have gone UNDER the total points line.
• Each of the Heat’s last four games have gone UNDER the total points line.

Miami Heat Player Facts

• Davion Mitchell has recorded six games with 5+ assists and zero turnovers this season – most of any player in the league.
• Andrew Wiggins is one of only five qualified players in the league averaging at least 1.0 threes, 1.0 steals and 1.0 blocks this season.

Toronto Raptors Player Facts

• Immanuel Quickley has recorded 24 games with 4+ assists this season – equal-most of any player in the league.
• Scottie Barnes rank 1st in the league for total steals + blocks (77) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Heat rank 1st in the league for field goal attempts per game this season (92.7).
• The Heat rank 30th in the league for opponent field goal attempts per game this season (95.9).
• The Raptors rank 1st for fast break points (528) this season.
• The Raptors rank 1st for fast break points per game (20.3) this season.

Heat vs Raptors Injury Report

The Heat will be without Terry Rozier and Pelle Larsson.

RJ Barrett is out for the Raptors with a knee injury.

Heat vs Raptors Prediction

The Raptors and Heat probably enjoyed the long layoff, as they’re both riding the struggle bus right now. The difference is the Heat have shown us more to this point, and they’re at home where they’re 10-3 SU. The Raptors have failed to cover 9 of their last 10 games and haven’t covered a game since November 24.

The Raptors have had some scoring issues lately, which includes being held under 100 points in 2 of their last 6 games. The Heat haven’t had that pace and high scoring since the return of Herro, but at home, this feels like a get right spot for Miami. I’ll lay the somewhat reasonable number.