
Heat vs Spurs Prediction 1/19/25 NBA Picks Today
San Antonio Spurs (19-21) vs. Miami Heat (20-20)
January 19, 2025 3:00 pm EDT
The Line: Miami Heat -3; Over/Under: 219.5
(Get latest betting odds)
The San Antonio Spurs and Miami Heat meet Sunday in NBA action at the Kaseya Center. Here’s a Heat vs Spurs Prediction. This article will include a Heat vs Spurs Pick.
San Antonio Spurs Betting Preview
The San Antonio Spurs lost to the Grizzlies, beat the Lakers, and then play the Pacers, Clippers, and Bucks next. The San Antonio Spurs are averaging 111.7 points on 45.5 percent shooting and allowing 112 points on 45.4 percent shooting. Victor Wembanyama is averaging 24.7 points and 10.7 rebounds, while Devin Vassell is averaging 15.8 points and 3.1 assists. Jeremy Sochan is the third double-digit scorer and Keldon Johnson is dishing 1.5 assists. The San Antonio Spurs are shooting 34.3 percent from beyond the arc and 79.4 percent from the free throw line. The San Antonio Spurs are allowing 35.2 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 45.6 rebounds per game.
Miami Heat Betting Preview
The Miami Heat lost to the Nuggets and Lakers, and they play the Trail Blazers, Bucks, and Nets next. The Miami Heat are averaging 110.7 points on 45.5 percent shooting and allowing 109.5 points on 46 percent shooting. Tyler Herro is averaging 24.3 points and 5.7 rebounds, while Jimmy Butler is averaging 17.6 points and 5.5 rebounds. Bam Adebayo is the third double-digit scorer and Terry Rozier is grabbing 4 rebounds. The Miami Heat are shooting 36.9 percent from beyond the arc and 78.4 percent from the free throw line. The Miami Heat are allowing 35.5 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 43.4 rebounds per game.
Why the Miami Heat will win
- The Spurs have lost each of their last nine games against Eastern Conference opponents after losing as favorites.
- The Heat have won 19 of their last 21 games against Southwest Division opponents following a loss.
- The Spurs have failed to cover the spread in each of their last nine games against Eastern Conference opponents after losing as favorites.
- The favorites have covered the spread in each of the Heat’s last four games.
Why the San Antonio Spurs will win
- The Heat have lost each of their last two games as favorites against Western Conference opponents following a loss.
- The road team has won each of the Spurs’ last three games.
- The Heat have failed to cover the spread in each of their last four day games.
- The Spurs have covered the spread in five of their last six games as road underdogs.
Miami Heat Player Facts
- Tyler Herro ranks 4th amongst qualified players for three-pointers made Per Game (4.0) this season.
- Bam Adebayo ranks 6th in the Eastern Conference amongst qualified players for steals per game (1.5) this season.
San Antonio Spurs Player Facts
- Victor Wembanyama ranks 1st amongst qualified players for Blocks Per Game (4.1) this season.
- Chris Paul ranks 1st amongst qualified players for assist:turnover ratio (4.9) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Heat rank 30th in the league for opponent free throw percentage this season (79.7%).
- The Heat rank 1st in the league for opponent free throw attempts per game this season (18.0).
- The Spurs rank 1st in the league for blocks per game this season (7.0).
- The Spurs rank 1st in the league for opponent free throws made per game this season (14.3).
Heat vs Spurs Injury Report
The San Antonio Spurs will be without Jeremy Sochan and Riley Minix.
The Miami Heat will be without Josh Richardson and Dru Smith.
Heat vs Spurs Prediction
The Miami Heat are getting the benefit of the doubt because they’re at home, but I’m still not sure if they’re a good team. The Heat have lost three straight games, and they’ve failed to cover seven of their last 10 games. Jimmy Butler coming back doesn’t change much, as the Heat still can’t score, and he’s not playing with the same intensity he does come playoff time. The Spurs have cooled off with losses in five of their last six games, but they’re competitive in most of those efforts and just need to learn how to finish down the stretch. The Spurs have a clear size advantage down low, which could be the difference. I’ll grab the bucket in a game the Spurs could win outright.