San Antonio Spurs (53-18) vs. Miami Heat (38-33)
March 23, 2026 7:00 pm EDT
The Line: Miami Heat +5.5; Over/Under: 239.5
(Get latest betting odds)
The San Antonio Spurs and Miami Heat meet Monday in NBA action at the Kaseya Center. Here’s a Heat vs. Spurs Prediction. This article will include a Heat vs. Spurs Pick.
San Antonio Spurs Betting Preview
The San Antonio Spurs beat the Pacers and Suns, and they play the Grizzlies next. The Spurs have won 26 of their last 32 games.
The San Antonio Spurs are averaging 119 points on 48.1 percent shooting and allowing 111.7 points on 45.1 percent shooting. Victor Wembanyama is averaging 24.3 points and 11.1 rebounds, while De’Aaron Fox is averaging 19 points and 6.3 assists. Stephon Castle is the third double-digit scorer, and Devin Vassell is dishing 2.5 assists. The San Antonio Spurs are shooting 35.9 percent from beyond the arc and 78.4 percent from the free throw line. The San Antonio Spurs are allowing 35.6 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 46.6 rebounds per game.
Miami Heat Betting Preview
The Miami Heat lost to the Lakers and Rockets, and they play the Cavs next. The Heat have lost 4 straight games.
The Miami Heat are averaging 120.3 points on 46.5 percent shooting and allowing 117.2 points on 46 percent shooting. Norman Powell is averaging 22.3 points and 3.6 rebounds, while Tyler Herro is averaging 21.5 points and 3.9 assists. Bam Adebayo is the third double-digit scorer, and Andrew Wiggins is grabbing 5.1 rebounds. The Miami Heat are shooting 35.8 percent from beyond the arc and 79.1 percent from the free-throw line. The Miami Heat are allowing 35.1 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 46.8 rebounds per game.
Why the Miami Heat will win
- The Heat have won four of their last five games as home underdogs against Western Conference opponents.
- The Spurs have lost seven of their last eight night games against Heat teams that held a winning record.
- The Heat have covered the spread in each of their last seven games against Southwest Division opponents following a loss.
- The Spurs have failed to cover the spread in each of their last six Monday games as road favorites.
Why the San Antonio Spurs will win
- The Spurs have won each of their last 12 night games against Eastern Conference opponents.
- The Heat have lost each of their last four games.
- The Spurs have covered the spread in each of their last seven games against Southeast Division opponents that held a winning record.
- The Heat have failed to cover the spread in seven of their last eight home games against Spurs teams that held a winning record.
Total Points Facts
- Each of the Spurs’ last seven games against Southeast Division opponents has gone UNDER the total points line.
- Each of the Heat’s last five games against the Spurs following a road loss have gone UNDER the total points line.
Heat vs Spurs Injury Report
The Heat will be without Terry Rozier. Norman Powell is questionable.
David Jones Garcia is out for the Spurs. Stephon Castle and Devin Vassell are questionable.
Heat vs Spurs Prediction
The Spurs should be favored for obvious reasons, as they’ve simply been consistent and take every game seriously. right when it looked like the Heat were turning the corner, they dropped four straight games and fell back into the play-in tournament.
However, the Heat are going to be as healthy as they’ve been in a while as Wiggins and JJJ are expected to return. The Spurs could be without Castle and Vassell. Also, the Heat play to the level of their competition most nights. I don’t worry about the Heat against good teams. It’s the Wizards and Nets where I have questions. It was the Heat who went into Charlotte and cooled off a hot Hornets team. They should’ve swept the Rockets. The Heat will be up for this one, especially with how they just lost. Give me the points.
