Heat vs Warriors Prediction 11/19/25 NBA Picks Today

The Golden State Warriors and Miami Heat meet Wednesday in NBA action at the Kaseya Center. Here’s a Heat vs Warriors Prediction. This article will include a Heat vs Warriors Pick.

Golden State Warriors Betting Preview

The Golden State Warriors beat the Pelicans, lost to the Magic, and they’ll play the Trail Blazers next. The Warriors have won 4 of their last 6 games.

The Golden State Warriors are averaging 115.7 points on 45.4 percent shooting and allowing 114 points on 47.4 percent shooting. Stephen Curry averages 27.4 points and 3.7 assists, while Jimmy Butler averages 19.1 points and 4.8 assists. Jonathan Kuminga is the third double-digit scorer, and Moses Moody is grabbing 2.8 rebounds. The Golden State Warriors are shooting 37.5 percent from beyond the arc and 83.2 percent from the free-throw line. The Golden State Warriors are allowing 35.9 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 42 rebounds per game.

Miami Heat Betting Preview

The Miami Heat lost to the Cavs, split with the Knicks, and they play the Bulls next. The Heat have won 16 their last 26 regular season games.

The Miami Heat are averaging 125.4 points on 49.2 percent shooting and allowing 122.2 points on 43.8 percent shooting. Norman Powell is averaging 26.1 points and 4.1 rebounds, while Bam Adebayo is averaging 19.9 points and 2.9 assists. Andrew Wiggins is the third double-digit scorer, and Jaime Jaquez Jr. is grabbing 7.3 rebounds. The Miami Heat are shooting 8.4 percent from beyond the arc and 80.1 percent from the free-throw line. The Miami Heat are allowing 32.7 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 44.5 rebounds per game.

Why the Miami Heat will win

• The Warriors have lost seven of their last eight road games on the second leg of a back-to-back against the Heat.
• The Heat have won six of their last seven home games.
• The Warriors have failed to cover the spread in each of their last six road games against Eastern Conference opponents.
• The Heat have covered the spread in seven of their last eight home games following a home win.

Why the Golden State Warriors will win

• The Warriors have won seven of their last eight games as underdogs when playing with a rest disadvantage.
• The Heat have lost each of their last four games as home favorites against opponents who are on the second leg of a back-to-back.
• The Warriors have covered the spread in seven of their last eight games as underdogs when playing with a rest disadvantage.
• The Heat have failed to cover the spread in each of their last four games as home favorites against opponents who are on the second leg of a back-to-back.

Total Points Facts

• Each of the Heat’s last nine Wednesday home games have gone OVER the total points line.
• Each of the Warriors’ last four games against the Heat following a road loss have gone UNDER the total points line.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Heat rank 30th in the league for opponent offensive rebounds per game this season (14.9).
• The Heat rank 30th in the league for opponent three-point field goal attempts per game this season (45.2).
• The Warriors rank 30th in the league for opponent free throw percentage this season (83.7%).
• The Warriors rank 1st in the league for three-point field goals made per game this season (16.3).

Heat vs Warriors Injury Report

The Heat will be without Tyler Herro and Terry Rozier. Bam Adebayo is questionable with a toe injury.

The Warriors will be without De’Anthony Melton and Jonathan Kuminga. Stephen Curry is questionable with an ankle injury.

Heat vs Warriors Prediction

The Warriors are coming off a bad loss to the Magic last night to drop to 4-7 SU on the road. Curry also tweaked his ankle, so there’s a chance he doesn’t play here. The Heat are rested, push the pace offensively, and there’s a chance Bam returns as he’s been upgraded to questionable. With the Warriors on tired legs and possibly without their best player, the Heat should win this game. It’s also a revenge spot for Miami, seeing Jimmy Butler on the other side. The line is reasonable. Give me the Heat.