Washington Wizards (11-48) vs. Miami Heat (28-31)
March 3, 2025 7:30 pm EDT
The Line: Miami Heat -9.5; Over/Under: 219.5
(Get latest betting odds)
The Washington Wizards and Miami Heat meet Monday in NBA action at the Kaseya Center. Here’s a Heat vs Wizards Prediction. This article will include a Heat vs Wizards Pick.
Washington Wizards Betting Preview
The Washington Wizards lost to the Trail Blazers, beat the Hornets, and they play the Jazz, Raptors, and Pistons next. The Wizards have seen five of their 11 wins come over the last month.
The Washington Wizards are averaging 108.4 points on 44.1 percent shooting and allowing 120.8 points on 47.3 percent shooting. Jordan Poole is averaging 21 points and 3.3 rebounds, while Malcolm Brogdon is averaging 12.7 points and 4.1 assists. Bilal Coulibaly is the third double-digit scorer, and Alex Sarr is grabbing 6.5 rebounds. The Washington Wizards are shooting 33.4 percent from beyond the arc and 77.9 percent from the free-throw line. The Washington Wizards are allowing 36.7 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 43.8 rebounds per game.
Miami Heat Betting Preview
The Miami Heat beat the Pacers, lost to the Knicks, and they play the Cavs, Timberwolves, and Bulls next. The Heat wasted a fantastic Bam Adebayo game yesterday in a loss to the Knicks, as he had 30 points and 7 rebounds on 12-16 shooting.
The Miami Heat are averaging 110.3 points on 45.8 percent shooting and allowing 110.9 points on 46.4 percent shooting. Tyler Herro is averaging 24.1 points and 5.4 rebounds, while Andrew Wiggins is averaging 17.8 points and 4.8 rebounds. Bam Adebayo is the third double-digit scorer and Terry Rosier is grabbing 4 rebounds. The Miami Heat are shooting 36.1 percent from beyond the arc and 79.3 percent from the free throw line. The Miami Heat are allowing 35.9 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 43.7 rebounds per game.
Why the Miami Heat will win
- The Heat have won each of their last eight games as favorites against Eastern Conference opponents following a loss.
- The Wizards have lost nine of their last 10 games against opponents who are on the second leg of a back-to-back.
- The Heat have covered the spread in each of their last seven games on the second leg of a back-to-back following an overtime loss.
- The Wizards have failed to cover the spread in each of their last four games at Kaseya Center when playing with a rest advantage.
Why the Washington Wizards will win
- The Heat have lost five of their last six games as favorites after coming off overtime.
- The Wizards have won four of their last five games as road underdogs.
- The Heat have failed to cover the spread in each of their last seven night games following a home loss.
- The Wizards have covered the spread in each of their last five games following a road win.
Total Points Facts
- Each of the Heat’s last six games as home favorites following a home loss have gone OVER the total points line.
- Each of the Wizards’ last five games as underdogs following a road win have gone OVER the total points line.
Heat vs Wizards Injury Report
The Miami Heat will be without Nikola Jovic and Dru Smith. Andrew Wiggins and Jaime Jaquez Jr. are questionable after not playing yesterday.
The Washington Wizards will be without Saddiq Bey, Malcolm Brogdon, and Jordan Poole.
Heat vs Wizards Prediction
The Heat are coming off their best week in a while, and it should’ve ended with a win over the Knicks. Still, a solid week for the Heat. With that said, the Heat has had issues winning by a margin for years, and they’re 25-33-1 ATS on the season. The Heat are just one of those teams that play to the level of their competition. I wouldn’t expect things to change at the end of a back-to-back.
The Wizards are also coming off their best month of the season, and they’ve covered seven of their last 10 games. The underdog is 5-3-1 ATS in the last nine games between the Heat and Wizards. The Heat usually don’t take care of business the way they should against bad teams. Give me the Wizards and the points.
