Hornets vs Heat Prediction 3/17/26 NBA Picks Today

The Miami Heat and Charlotte Hornets meet Tuesday in NBA action at the Spectrum Center. Here’s a Hornets vs. Heat prediction. This article will include a Hornets vs. Heat pick.

Miami Heat Betting Preview

The Miami Heat beat the Bucks and lost to the Magic, and they play the Lakers next. The Heat have won 11 of their last 15 games.

The Miami Heat are averaging 120.4 points on 46.5 percent shooting and allowing 116.8 points on 45.7 percent shooting. Norman Powell is averaging 22.5 points and 3.6 rebounds, while Tyler Herro is averaging 21.5 points and 3.8 assists. Bam Adebayo is the third double-digit scorer, and Andrew Wiggins is grabbing 5.1 rebounds. The Miami Heat are shooting 36 percent from beyond the arc and 79.1 percent from the free-throw line. The Miami Heat are allowing 34.8 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 47 rebounds per game.

Charlotte Hornets Betting Preview

The Charlotte Hornets beat the Kings, lost to the Spurs, and play the Magic next. The Hornets have won 18 of their last 24 games.

The Charlotte Hornets are averaging 115.5 points on 45.7 percent shooting and allowing 112.3 points on 47 percent shooting. Brandon Miller is averaging 20.4 points and 3.4 assists, while LaMelo Ball is averaging 19.3 points and 4.8 rebounds. Kon Knueppel is the third double-digit scorer, and Miles Bridges is dishing out 3.4 assists. The Charlotte Hornets are shooting 37.8 percent from beyond the arc and 81.9 percent from the free-throw line. The Charlotte Hornets are allowing 36.1 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 46.1 rebounds per game.

Why the Charlotte Hornets will win

• The Hornets have won eight of their last nine games against Southeast Division opponents.
• The Heat have lost four of their last five games against Southeast Division opponents after losing as favorites.
• The Hornets have covered the spread in nine of their last 10 games against Eastern Conference opponents following a loss.
• The Heat have failed to cover the spread in six of their last seven games at Spectrum Center following a loss.

Why the Miami Heat will win

• The Hornets have lost each of their last six games against Heat teams that held a winning record.
• The Heat have won five of their last six games as underdogs against the Hornets.
• The Heat have covered the spread in each of their last eight games following a home loss.
• The Hornets have failed to cover the spread in each of their last five games.

Total Points Facts

• Each of the Heat’s last six Tuesday games as underdogs has gone UNDER the total points line.
• Five of the Hornets’ last six games as home favorites have gone UNDER the total points line.

Hornets vs Heat Injury Report

Tidjane Salaun and Liam McNeeley are out for the Hornets.

The Heat will be without Terry Rozier and Andrew Wiggins. Bam Adebayo is questionable.

Hornets vs Heat Prediction

We’ve been backing the Hornets a lot during this stretch and it’s paid off nicely. However, the Heat are the best cover team in the NBA at 41-26-1 ATS. The Heat are also 9-1 SU and 7-3 ATS in the last 10 games against the Hornets. The Heat are playing their best ball of the season and could be as healthy as they’ve been in a while. Larsson, Jovic and Powell will return for this game. We’re seeing Bam on the injury report, but overall, this Miami team has to like where it’s at right now. I’ll grab the points in a game the Heat could win outright. It feels like the market has made a large adjustment to the Hornets and I’m not comfortable with it.