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Houston Rockets vs Miami Heat Prediction 4-5-24 Picks

Miami Heat (42-33) vs. Houston Rockets (38-37)
April 5, 2024 8:00 pm EDT
The Line: Houston Rockets -1; Over/Under: +214
(Get latest betting odds)

The Miami Heat and Houston Rockets meet Friday in NBA action at the Toyota Center. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Heat vs Rockets prediction.

Miami Heat Betting Preview

The Miami Heat recently beat the Trail Blazers and Knicks while losing to the 76ers. The Miami Heat are averaging 109.9 points on 46.4 percent shooting and allowing 108.4 points on 46.9 percent shooting. Jimmy Butler is averaging 21 points and 5.4 rebounds, while Tyler Herro is averaging 20.8 points and 5.3 rebounds. Bam Adebayo is the third double-digit scorer and Terry Rozier is grabbing 4.5 rebounds. The Miami Heat are shooting 37.1 percent from beyond the arc and 81.5 percent from the free throw line. The Miami Heat are allowing 35.8 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 42.1 rebounds per game.

Houston Rockets Betting Preview

The Houston Rockets are coming off losses to the Mavericks, Timberwolves, and Warriors. The Houston Rockets are averaging 114.1 points on 45.9 percent shooting and allowing 112.6 points on 46.2 percent shooting. Jalen Green is averaging 20 points and 5.1 rebounds, while Fred VanVleet is averaging 16.8 points and 3.7 rebounds. Jabari Smith Jr. is the third double-digit scorer and Dillon Brooks is grabbing 3.4 rebounds. The Houston Rockets are shooting 35.1 percent from beyond the arc and 77.2 percent from the free throw line. The Houston Rockets are allowing 34.8 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 45.8 rebounds per game.

Houston Rockets Team Facts

  • The Rockets have won four of their last five games as home underdogs following a loss.
  • The Rockets have covered the spread in each of their last nine home games against Eastern Conference opponents.
  • Eight of the Rockets’ last nine home games against Southeast Division opponents have gone OVER the total points line.

Miami Heat Team Facts

  • The Heat have won each of their last eight games against Southwest Division opponents after losing as favorites.
  • The Heat have covered the spread in each of their last seven road games against Southwest Division opponents following a loss.
  • Each of the Heat’s last nine games as favorites against opponents who are on the second leg of a back-to-back have gone UNDER the total points line.

Heat vs Rockets prediction

Honestly, I have no idea what to expect from the Heat. Right when you think the Heat are turning the corner, they fall apart at home to the 76ers. The Heat are widely inconsistent and right when you’re ready to write them off, they go on a run. The Rockets probably should be favored, especially with both teams on the end of the back to back and the far they didn’t travel. However, the Rockets pretty much watched their season end last night with a loss to the Warriors, which puts them deep behind the 10th seed. The Heat are fighting to stay out of the play-in tournament. Motivation is on the side of the Heat. So, I’ll take the Heat, but I don’t love it. At all.

Randy Chambers's Free Pick: Miami Heat +1

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Randy Chambers

Randy has covered sports betting since 2014 and writes about everything from NFL to WNBA. Follow Randy Chambers on Twitter.

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