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Rockets vs Suns Prediction 12/5/25 NBA Picks Today

Phoenix Suns (13-9) vs. Houston Rockets (14-5)
December 5, 2025 8:00 pm EDT
The Line: Houston Rockets -11.5; Over/Under: 223.5
(Get latest betting odds)

The Houston Rockets play host to the Phoenix Suns at the Toyota Center on Friday night. Here’s a Rockets vs Suns Prediction. This article will include a Rockets vs Suns Pick.

Phoenix Suns Betting Preview

The Phoenix Suns have been in fine form as they’ve won 10 of their last 14 games overall and they will be feeling pretty good after running past the Lakers in a 125-108 road win on Monday. Dillon Brooks led the team with 33 points on 15 of 26 shooting, Collin Gillespie added 28 points with five assists while Mark Williams and Jordan Goodwin each scored 13 points. As a team, the Suns shot 57 percent from the field and 17 of 39 from the 3-point line as they jumped all over the Lakers from the start and dominated the second quarter by 35-21 to take control of the contest. They kept their foot on the gas until they led by as many as 25 points.

Houston Rockets Betting Preview

Meanwhile, the Houston Rockets have continued their strong form as they’ve now won nine of their last 11 games after taking down the Kings in a 121-95 win on Wednesday. Alperen Sengun led the team with 28 points, 10 rebounds and four steals, Kevin Durant added 24 points with eight assists on nine of 16 shooting while Amen Thompson chipped in with 20 points, 12 rebounds and seven assists. As a team, the Rockets shot 53 percent from the field and just five of 16 from the 3-point line as they got off to a sluggish start and trailed going into halftime. Before they absolutely dominated the second half by 70-43 to make it look like a walk in the park.

Why the Houston Rockets will win

  • The Rockets have won each of their last 13 games as favorites on the first leg of a back-to-back.
  • The Suns have lost each of their last seven road games against Western Conference opponents after winning as underdogs.
  • The Rockets have covered the spread in each of their last six games against Suns teams that held a winning record.
  • The Suns have failed to cover the spread in 12 of their last 15 games as underdogs against opponents who are on the first leg of a back-to-back.

Why the Phoenix Suns will win

  • The Suns have won each of their last seven games at Toyota Center when playing with a rest advantage.
  • The Rockets have lost each of their last four games when playing with a rest disadvantage against the Suns.
  • The Suns have covered the spread in each of their last six road games.
  • The Rockets have failed to cover the spread in five of their last six games as home favorites when playing with a rest disadvantage.

Total Points Facts

  • Each of the Rockets’ last six home games following a home win have gone OVER the total points line.
  • Five of the Suns’ last six games against the Rockets following a road win have gone UNDER the total points line.

Houston Rockets Player Facts

  • Steven Adams ranks 2nd amongst qualified players for rebounds per 36 minutes (15.7) this season.
  • Alperen Sengun is one of only five qualified players in the league averaging at least 7.0 rebounds and 7.0 assists this season.

Phoenix Suns Player Facts

  • Grayson Allen ranks 3rd amongst qualified players for three-pointers made per game (3.8) this season.
  • Dillon Brooks ranks 2nd in the Western Conference amongst qualified players for steals per game (1.7) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

  • The Rockets rank 1st in the league for rebounds per game this season (49.8).
  • The Rockets rank 1st in the league for opponent rebounds per game this season (38.5).
  • The Suns rank 1st in the league for steals per game this season (10.9).
  • The Suns have suffered the largest comeback loss when leading through Q3 this season – led by 18 points vs Hawks on November 16.

Rockets vs Suns Prediction

The Suns are going to be shorthanded for this one with Jalen Green and Devin Booker both ruled out already, while the Rockets are missing Tari Eason, Fred VanVleet and Dorian Finney-Smith. These teams met just last Monday, and it was the Rockets who romped to a 114-92 win despite 29 points from Brooks, and I can’t picture anything but a similar result with Booker sitting this one out. The Suns role players like Gillespie and Williams deserve credit for how they picked up the slack in their win on Monday, but I don’t think they have enough firepower to challenge this Rockets squad at the moment.

Peter Tran's Free Pick: Houston -11.5

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Peter Tran

Peter Trans is an acclaimed Expert NBA Handicapper, renowned for his insightful analysis and predictions in the world of professional basketball. With a keen eye for detail and a deep understanding of the game, Peter has established himself as a trusted authority among basketball enthusiasts and bettors alike. His expertise is showcased on SportsChatPlace.com, where he provides in-depth game analyses, betting tips, and forecasts that are both highly informative and remarkably accurate.

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