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Indiana Pacers vs Miami Heat Prediction 11-15-24 NBA Picks

Miami Heat (4-6) vs. Indiana Pacers (5-6)
November 15, 2024 7:00 pm EDT
The Line: Indiana Pacers -3.5; Over/Under: +238.5
(Get latest betting odds)

The Miami Heat and Indiana Pacers meet Friday in NBA action at the Gainbridge Fieldhouse. Here’s a Indiana Pacers vs Miami Heat Prediction. This article will include a Indiana Pacers vs Miami Heat Pick.

Miami Heat Betting Preview

The Miami Heat lost to the Pistons, beat the Timberwolves, and they play the Mavericks and 76ers next. The Miami Heat are averaging 110.2 points on 44.4 percent shooting and allowing 111.2 points on 46.3 percent shooting. Tyler Herro is averaging 24.9 points and 5.2 rebounds, while Jimmy Butler is averaging 16.1 points and 4.8 rebounds. Bam Adebayo is the third double-digit scorer and Terry Rozier is grabbing 4.4 rebounds. The Miami Heat are shooting 38.8 percent from beyond the arc and 74.4 percent from the free throw line. The Miami Heat are allowing 36.5 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 43 rebounds per game.

Indiana Pacers Betting Preview

The Indiana Pacers beat the Knicks, lost to the Magic, and they play the Rockets and Raptors next. The Indiana Pacers are averaging 113.9 points on 48.5 percent shooting and allowing 116.6 points on 46.6 percent shooting. Pascal Siakam is averaging 20.5 points and 6.5 rebounds, while Benedict Mathurin is averaging 19.7 points and 6.6 rebounds. Myles Turner is the third double-digit scorer and Tyrese Haliburton is grabbing 4 rebounds. The Indiana Pacers are shooting 37.1 percent from beyond the arc and 76.3 percent from the free-throw line. The Indiana Pacers are allowing 33.3 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 40.1 rebounds per game.

Why the Miami Heat will win

  • The Heat have won each of their last seven games against Central Division opponents following a loss.
  • The Pacers have lost five of their last six games as favorites when playing with a rest disadvantage.
  • The Heat have covered the spread in each of their last six road games when playing with a rest advantage.
  • The Pacers have failed to cover the spread in each of their last four home games when playing with a rest disadvantage.

Total Points Facts

  • Each of the Pacers’ last nine home games against the Heat following a road loss have gone UNDER the total points line.
  • Each of the Heat’s last five night games against the Pacers following a road loss have gone OVER the total points line.

Indiana Pacers vs Miami Heat Prediction

The Indiana Pacers should get the benefit of the doubt at home with the Heat down Jimmy Butler. However, the Pacers continue to run hot and cold and their defense remains an issue. The Heat have also played decent without Butler, especially offensively, as there’s more room to operate. Herro is looking like an all star. The Heat are also coming off that heartbreaking loss to the Pistons, and I’d assume guys are eager to right a wrong. The underdog has covered 8 of the last 10 games between the Heat and Pacers. Give me the road dog.

Randy Chambers's Free Pick: Miami Heat +3.5

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Randy Chambers

Randy has covered sports betting since 2014 and writes about everything from NFL to WNBA. Follow Randy Chambers on Twitter.

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