Knicks vs Heat Prediction 12/21/25 NBA Picks Today

The Miami Heat and NY Knicks meet Sunday in NBA action at Madison Square Garden. Here’s a Knicks vs Heat Prediction. This article will include a Knicks vs Heat Pick.

Miami Heat Betting Preview

The Miami Heat lost to the Celtics, beat the Nets, and they play the Raptors next. The Heat have lost 6 of their last 7 games.

The Miami Heat are averaging 120.1 points on 47.3 percent shooting and allowing 117.3 points on 44.8 percent shooting. Norman Powell is averaging 24.1 points and 3.8 rebounds, while Tyler Herro is averaging 23.2 points and 2.3 assists. Bam Adebayo is the third double-digit scorer, and Andrew Wiggins is grabbing 4.8 rebounds. The Miami Heat are shooting 36.8 percent from beyond the arc and 78.2 percent from the free-throw line. The Miami Heat are allowing 33.8 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 45.6 rebounds per game.

NY Knicks Betting Preview

The NY Knicks beat the Pacers, lost to the 76ers,, and they play the Timberwolves next. The Knicks have won 18 of their last 23 games.

The NY Knicks are averaging 120.2 points on 47.9 percent shooting and allowing 112.4 points on 46 percent shooting. Jalen Brunson is averaging 28.4 points and 3.4 rebounds, while Karl-Anthony Towns is averaging 22.4 points and 3.1 assists. Mikal Bridges is the third double-digit scorer, and OG Anunoby is dishing 1.9 assists. The NY Knicks are shooting 37.5 percent from beyond the arc and 79 percent from the free-throw line. The NY Knicks are allowing 36.3 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 46.3 rebounds per game.

Why the New York Knicks will win

• The Heat have lost each of their last seven night games at Madison Square Garden.
• The Knicks have won each of their last nine Sunday home games.
• The Knicks have covered the spread in each of their last eight Sunday home games.
• The Heat have failed to cover the spread in seven of their last eight games as underdogs against Atlantic Division opponents following a loss.

Why the Miami Heat will win

• The Heat have won each of their last eight Sunday night games at Madison Square Garden.
• The Knicks have lost three of their last four night games against Southeast Division opponents that held a winning record.
• The Heat have covered the spread in five of their last six road games following a road loss.
• The Knicks have failed to cover the spread in three of their last four night games against Southeast Division opponents that held a winning record.

Total Points Facts

• Each of the Knicks’ last five home games against Eastern Conference opponents have gone UNDER the total points line.
• Six of the Heat’s last seven games have gone UNDER the total points line.

Knicks vs Heat Injury Report

The Knicks will be without Landry Shamet and Miles McBride.

The Heat will be without Terry Rozier, Tyler Herro, Nikola Jovic, and Pelle Larsson. Davion Mitchell and Andrew Wiggins are questionable.

Knicks vs Heat Prediction

The Heat have cooled off drastically over these last couple of weeks, and that includes a 2-8 ATS record in their last 10 games. That high scoring fast-paced offense is dead. It also doesn’t help that the Heat have half their rotation on the injury report. The Knicks look healthy heading into this spot, and they’re 18-10 ATS on the season. This is a rivalry and the Heat have had success in recent meetings, including a win last month, but Miami is in rough shape in terms of form and injuries. I have to side with the Knicks and the chalk.