Miami Heat (29-38) vs. NY Knicks (42-24)
March 17, 2025 7:30 pm EDT
The Line: NY Knicks -7.5; Over/Under: 212
(Get latest betting odds)
The Miami Heat and NY Knicks meet Monday in NBA action at Madison Square Garden. Here’s a Knicks vs Heat Prediction. This article will include a Knicks vs Heat Pick.
Miami Heat Betting Preview
The Miami Heat lost to the Grizzlies and Celtics, and they play the Pistons, Rockets, and Hornets next. The Heat have lost seven straight games and could soon fall to the 10th seed in the East.
The Miami Heat are averaging 109.6 points on 45.8 percent shooting and allowing 110.5 points on 46.4 percent shooting. Tyler Herro is averaging 23.9 points and 5.4 rebounds, while Andrew Wiggins is averaging 18.9 points and 4.7 rebounds. Bam Adebayo is the third double-digit scorer and Terry Rozier is grabbing 3.8 rebounds. The Miami Heat are shooting 36.1 percent from beyond the arc and 79 percent from the free throw line. The Miami Heat are allowing 35.7 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 43.4 rebounds per game.
NY Knicks Betting Preview
The NY Knicks beat the Trail Blazers, lost to the Warriors, and they play the Spurs, Hornets, and Wizards next. The Knicks have played .500 ball over their last 12 games and will play their first home game in two weeks.
The NY Knicks are averaging 117.1 points on 48.9 percent shooting and allowing 112.7 points on 47.2 percent shooting. Jalen Brunson is averaging 26.3 points and 3 rebounds, while Karl-Anthony Towns is averaging 24.2 points and 3.1 assists. Mikal Bridges is the third double-digit scorer and OG Anunoby is grabbing 4.8 rebounds. The NY Knicks are shooting 36.9 percent from beyond the arc and 80.3 percent from the free throw line. The NY Knicks are allowing 37.4 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 42.9 rebounds per game.
Why the New York Knicks will win
- The Knicks have won each of their last nine night games against teams that held a losing record.
- The Heat have lost each of their last eight road games against teams that held a winning record.
- The Heat have failed to cover the spread in seven of their last eight road games against teams that held a winning record.
- The Knicks have covered the spread in five of their last six games as favorites against Eastern Conference opponents following a loss.
Why the Miami Heat will win
- The road team has won five of the Heat’s last six games.
- The Knicks have lost six of their last seven games against Heat teams that held a losing record.
- The Knicks have failed to cover the spread in each of their last seven games at Madison Square Garden.
- The underdogs have covered the spread in each of the Knicks’ last four games at Madison Square Garden.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Knicks rank 2nd in the league for opponent rebounds per game this season (42.0).
- The Knicks rank 29th in the league for blocks per game this season (3.9).
- The Heat rank 30th in the league for blocks per game this season (3.7).
- The Heat rank 2nd in the league for opponent free throws made per game this season (14.2).
Knicks vs Heat Injury Report
The Knicks will continue to be without Ariel Hukporti and Jalen Brunson.
The Miami Heat will be without Nikola Jovic, Alec Burks, and Dru Smith. Andrew Wiggins is questionable with a leg injury.
Knicks vs Heat Prediction
The Knicks have failed to cover seven of their last 10 games, so you can make a case for the Heat and points. The Heat also took the Knicks to overtime a couple of weeks ago, and this is a rivalry game where both sides usually get up for it. However, the Heat are free-falling with losses in eight of their last nine games, and some of those losses were inexcusable. The Heat can’t string together consistent offense, and they’re constantly blowing double-digit leads. The Heat are also 28-38-1 ATS on the season. I want nothing to do with the Heat. The only direction I can lean in this spot is to lay the points with the Knicks.
