Magic vs Mavericks Prediction 3/5/26 NBA Picks Today
Dallas Mavericks (21-40) vs. Orlando Magic (32-28)
March 5, 2026 7:00 pm EDT
The Line: Orlando Magic -8.5; Over/Under: 229.5
(Get latest betting odds)
The Dallas Mavericks and Orlando Magic meet Thursday in NBA action at the Kia Center. Here’s a Magic vs. Mavericks Prediction. This article will include a Magic vs. Mavericks pick.
Dallas Mavericks Betting Preview
The Dallas Mavericks lost to the Thunder and Hornets, and they play the Celtics next. The Mavs have lost 14 of their last 16 games.
The Dallas Mavericks are averaging 114.4 points on 47.3 percent shooting and allowing 117.7 points on 46.8 percent shooting. Cooper Flagg is averaging 20.4 points and 4.1 assists, while Naji Marshall is averaging 15.2 points and 4.9 rebounds. PJ Washington is the third double-digit scorer, and Max Christie is grabbing 3.4 rebounds. The Dallas Mavericks are shooting 34.2 percent from beyond the arc and 74.5 percent from the free-throw line. The Dallas Mavericks are allowing 34.3 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 44.7 rebounds per game.
Orlando Magic Betting Preview
The Orlando Magic lost to the Pistons, beat the Wizards, and play the Timberwolves next. The Magic have won 7 of their last 11 games.
The Orlando Magic are averaging 115.1 points on 46.3 percent shooting and allowing 114.6 points on 47.7 percent shooting. Paolo Banchero is averaging 21.5 points and 5 assists, while Franz Wagner is averaging 21.3 points and 5.8 rebounds. Desmond Bane is the third double-digit scorer, and Anthony Black is grabbing 4 rebounds. The Orlando Magic are shooting 34.4 percent from beyond the arc and 79.8 percent from the free-throw line. The Orlando Magic are allowing 35.8 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 43.5 rebounds per game.
Why the Orlando Magic will win
- The Mavericks have lost each of their last 10 games against teams that held a winning record.
- The Magic have won each of their last four games at Kia Center against Western Conference opponents that held a losing record.
- The Mavericks have failed to cover the spread in each of their last seven games on the first leg of a back-to-back.
- The favorites have covered the spread in four of the Magic’s last five games at Kia Center.
Why the Dallas Mavericks will win
- The Magic have lost seven of their last eight games as favorites against Southwest Division opponents following a win.
- The underdogs have won each of the Mavericks’ last four games at Kia Center.
- The Magic have failed to cover the spread in each of their last six games as favorites against opponents who are on the first leg of a back-to-back.
- The Mavericks have covered the spread in eight of their last nine games on the first leg of a back-to-back against Eastern Conference opponents.
Total Points Facts
- Eight of the Mavericks’ last nine games against Southeast Division opponents have gone UNDER the total points line.
- Eight of the Magic’s last nine games against the Mavericks following a home win have gone OVER the total points line.
Orlando Magic Player Facts
- Desmond Bane ranks 1st in the Eastern Conference amongst qualified players for FT% (91.5%) this season.
- Paolo Banchero is one of only four qualified players in the league to be leading their team in points (22.1), rebounds (8.4) and assists (5.0) per game this season.
Dallas Mavericks Player Facts
- Daniel Gafford ranks 11th amongst qualified players for blocks per 36 minutes (2.2) this season.
- P.J. Washington ranks 8th in the Western Conference amongst qualified players for blocks per game (1.2) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Magic rank 1st in the league for opponent three-point field goals made per game this season (11.6).
- The Magic rank 1st in the league for opponent three-point field goal attempts per game this season (32.9).
- The Mavericks rank 1st in the league for opponent three-point percentage this season (34.1%).
- The Mavericks rank 30th in the league for opponent field goal attempts per game this season (94.0).
Magic vs Mavericks Injury Report
The Magic will be without Franz Wagner. Wendell Carter Jr. and Anthony Black are questionable.
The Mavericks will be without Kyrie Irving, Marvin Bagley, Naji Marshall, PJ Washington, Cooper Flagg, and Dereck Lively II. Caleb Martin and Klay Thompson are questionable.
Magic vs Mavericks Prediction
The Mavs have actually won 8 of the last 10 games against the Magic and I haven’t been high on Orlando all season. However, the Mavs have a lengthy injury report and it’s preventing them from competing most nights. The Mavs have fallen to 27-34 ATS on the season. I don’t trust the Magic with big numbers, but backing the Mavs in their current form and with their injury report isn’t much of an option either. It’s Magic or pass in this spot.


