Mavericks vs Suns Analysis, Odds 10/19/2022 NBA Prop Bets

The Dallas Mavericks (0-0) face the Phoenix Suns (0-0) at Footprint Center in Phoenix. Let’s take a look at the NBA Prop Bets for Wednesday’s season opening matchup. The Suns are favored to win at -200, currently marked as 5.0-point favorites, while the Mavericks are at +170. The total points line is set at 216.5, with OVER at -110 and UNDER at -110, meaning the implied expected score for the game is 111-106 Phoenix.

• The Mavericks (-110) had a 56-42-2 ATS record last season, while the Suns (-110) held a record of 51-44-0.
• The Mavericks had a 39-60-1 O/U record last season (meaning 39 games went over the total points line, 60 went under and one resulted in a push). The Suns had a 48-47-0 O/U record last season.

Scoring Insights

• The Mavericks scored 108.0 points per game last season (24th in the league). Comparatively, the Suns averaged +6.8 more at 114.8 points (5th).
• Defensively, the Mavericks allowed only 104.7 points per game last season (2nd in the league), while the Suns gave up an average of 107.3 points (T8th).

Game Style: What last year’s stats tell us

Last year’s stats are an important indicator for predicting future performance because they show strengths and weaknesses in strategy and game play. They also show how well teams did against other teams in their division and conference, which gives us an idea of how they might do today. So let’s take a look at each team’s KPIs from the 21/22 season.

Field Goal Split

• Looking at field goal splits, 43.9% of the Mavericks’ field goal attempts came from three point range (8th in the league), leaving 56.1% from two. Meanwhile, the Suns’ opponents recorded 38.7% of their attempts from three (10th) and 61.3% from two.
• Comparatively, Phoenix took only 35.4% of shots from three (26th), leaving 64.6% from two, while Dallas’ opponents attempted a similarly low 37.6% from three (3rd) and 62.4% from two.

Three Pointers

• In terms of made three-pointers, the Mavericks shot 35.0% from deep last season (19th in the NBA), compared to the Suns who made 36.4% of their attempts (9th).
• On the opposite end, Dallas held opponents to 34.0% of their three-point attempts (4th), while Phoenix’s opponents hit 34.0% of their shots (5th).

Ball Protection

• The Mavericks committed 11.7 turnovers per game last season, ranking 3rd in the league, while the Suns forced 14.0 turnovers (6th).
• Flipping that script, Dallas forced 12.5 turnovers (T19th), while Phoenix committed 12.3 (7th).

Rebounds

• Dallas recorded 43.0 rebounds per game last season (24th in the league), including 9.3 offensive boards (24th). Conversely, Phoenix’s opponents averaged 44.5 rebounds (19th), 10.5 of which came on the offensive end (21st).
• Meanwhile, the Suns averaged 45.3 rebounds (10th) and 9.8 offensive rebounds (19th), while the Mavericks allowed 43.6 and 9.5, ranking 11th and 4th.

First Quarter Winner

Here are their first quarter records in 2021/22.

• Total Home Road Favorite Underdog
• Dallas 53-44-3 29-18-2 24-26-1 31-21-1 22-23-2
• Phoenix 50-42-3 25-22-1 25-20-2 44-37-1 6-5-2

First Half Winner

Here are their first half records in 2021/22.

• Total Home Road Favorite Underdog Last 10
• Dallas 52-46-2 31-16-2 21-30-0 33-18-2 19-28-0
• Phoenix 62-33-0 34-14-0 28-19-0 57-25-0 5-8-0

HT/FT

• The Mavericks completed the HT/FT double in 41.0% of games last season, while the Suns completed the HT/FT double in 56.8% of games.

To Go To Overtime

• The Mavericks played in three games that went to overtime last season, while the Suns appeared in two.

Both Teams 110+

• Both teams scored 110+ points in 19 of Dallas’ 100 games last season. Meanwhile, 27 of Phoenix’s 95 games saw both squads reach that number.

Last Time These Teams Met

Dallas recorded an upset 123-90 victory over Phoenix at Footprint Center when these teams last met in Game 7 of last season’s Western Conference Semi-finals. Luka Doncic came up big on that day, scoring 35 points and adding 10 rebounds. That result snapped the Suns’ six-game winning streak against the Mavericks at Footprint Center.