Dallas Mavericks (21-44) vs. Memphis Grizzlies (23-41)
March 12, 2026 8:00 pm EDT
The Line: Memphis Grizzlies +4.5; Over/Under: 236.5
(Get latest betting odds)
The Memphis Grizzlies play host to the Dallas Mavericks at the FedExForum on Thursday night. Here’s a Grizzlies vs. Mavericks prediction. This article will include a Grizzlies vs. Mavericks pick.
Dallas Mavericks Betting Preview
The Dallas Mavericks have been in terrible shape, as they’ve lost 18 of their last 20 games overall and they will be hoping to put an end to an eight-game losing streak after getting thrashed by the Hawks in a 124-112 road defeat on Tuesday. Klay Thompson led the team with 21 points on eight of 16 shooting off the bench, Khris Middleton added 16 points, Daniel Gafford and Naji Marshall each scored 14 points, and Cooper Flagg tallied 14 points with 12 rebounds and five assists. As a team, the Mavericks shot 48 percent from the field and 13 of 32 from the 3-point line as they allowed the Hawks to get off to a flyer but they fought hard to claw their way back from an 18-point deficit. However, with the scores tied in the fourth quarter, the Mavericks allowed the Hawks to go on a pivotal 12-4 run to slip away.
Memphis Grizzlies Betting Preview
Meanwhile, the Memphis Grizzlies have been in a slump as they’ve lost 12 of their last 15 games overall and they will be eager to arrest a five-game losing streak after getting beaten by the 76ers in a 139-129 road defeat on Tuesday. Ty Jerome led the team with 26 points and eight assists on 10 of 20 shooting, GG Jackson added 15 points off the bench, and Cedric Coward chipped in with 13 points, 16 rebounds and three assists. As a team, the Grizzlies shot 49 percent from the field and 17 of 43 from the 3-point line as they hit the ground running with 71 points in the first half to take a 14-point lead, but none of that mattered when the 76ers went on a ferocious 23-5 run in the fourth quarter to snatch the game away.
Why the Memphis Grizzlies will win
- The Mavericks have lost each of their last 11 games against Western Conference opponents.
- The Grizzlies have won each of their last seven games against the Mavericks.
- The Mavericks have failed to cover the spread in each of their last eight games as road favorites against Western Conference opponents.
- The Grizzlies have covered the spread in each of their last seven games against the Mavericks.
Why the Dallas Mavericks will win
- The Grizzlies have lost each of their last five games.
- The favorites have won each of the Grizzlies’ last six games.
- The Grizzlies have failed to cover the spread in each of their last five games against opponents who are on the first leg of a back-to-back.
- The Mavericks have covered the spread in six of their last seven games as road favorites on the first leg of a back-to-back.
Total Points Facts
- Each of the Mavericks’ last seven games has gone UNDER the total points line.
- Eight of the Grizzlies’ last nine home games against Western Conference opponents have gone OVER the total points line.
Dallas Mavericks Player Facts
- Daniel Gafford is one of only two players to have made 10+ field goals without a miss in a game this season.
- Cooper Flagg is one of only eight players in the league to have recorded 30+ points and 10+ rebounds in consecutive games this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- Fourteen different Grizzlies players have scored 20+ points in a game this season—the most in the league.
- The Grizzlies are one of only three teams to record four or more wins when trailing by a margin of 10+ points at HT this season.
- The Mavericks rank 1st in the league for opponent three-point percentage this season (34.1%).
- The Mavericks rank 30th in the league for opponent field goal attempts per game this season (94.1).
Grizzlies vs Mavericks Prediction
The Mavericks are still missing Dereck Lively II and Kyrie Irving with Klay Thompson currently listed as doubtful, while the Grizzlies have ruled out Ja Morant, Zach Edey, Brandon Clarke, Santi Aldama, Scotty Pippen Jr., and Ty Jerome with Cam Spencer and Cedric Coward both listed as questionable. Both teams are missing a bunch of players, but the Mavericks still hold the edge in firepower with Middleton, Marshall and Flagg to rely on for offense in this matchup. The Grizzlies have done well at times this season to surprise a few teams despite missing so many key players to injuries, but they are severely depleted right now and I don’t think they will be able to keep pace with the Mavericks in this one. The line is short, so I will lean with the slightly healthier Mavericks to get the win and cover in this spot.
