NBA Picks
Grizzlies vs Nuggets Prediction 3/18/26 NBA Picks Today
Denver Nuggets (42-27) vs. Memphis Grizzlies (23-44)
March 18, 2026 8:30 pm EDT
The Line: Memphis Grizzlies +13.5; Over/Under: 240.5
(Get latest betting odds)
The Denver Nuggets invade the FedExForum to take on the Memphis Grizzlies on Wednesday night. Here’s a Grizzlies vs. Nuggets prediction. This article will include a Grizzlies vs. Nuggets pick.
Denver Nuggets Betting Preview
The Denver Nuggets have been struggling for consistency as they’ve split their last 10 games overall, but they will be eager to build some momentum after blowing past the 76ers in a 124-96 home win last night. Christian Braun led the team with 22 points on seven of nine shooting, Cameron Johnson added 18 points, and Nikola Jokic tallied eight points with seven rebounds and 14 assists. As a team, the Nuggets shot 50 percent from the field and 16 of 33 from the 3-point line as they caught fire right away and dominated the first half by 72-40, which allowed them to cruise in the second half and pull all their starters early.
Memphis Grizzlies Betting Preview
Meanwhile, the Memphis Grizzlies have been doing it tough for a while now, as they’ve lost 15 of their last 18 games overall and they will be hoping to put a halt to an eight-game skid after getting routed by the Bulls in a 132-107 road defeat on Monday. Cedric Coward led the team with 17 points and five assists; Jaylen Wells and Taylor Hendricks each scored 16 points, while Olivier-Maxence Prosper chipped in with 13 points. As a team, the Grizzlies shot 45 percent from the field and 14 of 39 from the 3-point line as they fought hard in the first half to trail by just four points at halftime, but they couldn’t maintain that effort for 48 minutes and got outscored by 72-50 in the second half to suffer yet another blowout defeat.
Why the Memphis Grizzlies will win
- The Grizzlies have won each of their last six home games against the Nuggets following a road loss.
- The Nuggets have lost five of their last six games as favorites following a win.
- The Nuggets have failed to cover the spread in eight of their last nine games at FedExForum following a win.
- The Grizzlies have covered the spread in seven of their last eight home games against the Nuggets following a loss.
Why the Denver Nuggets will win
- The Grizzlies have lost each of their last eight games.
- The Nuggets have won each of their last nine games as favorites against the Grizzlies.
- The Nuggets have covered the spread in seven of their last eight road games against Southwest Division opponents following a win.
- The Grizzlies have failed to cover the spread in 20 of their last 25 games at FedExForum against teams that held a winning record.
Total Points Facts
- Each of the Nuggets’ last 14 road games against Western Conference opponents has gone OVER the total points line.
- Eleven of the Grizzlies’ last 12 games against the Nuggets following a road loss have gone UNDER the total points line.
Memphis Grizzlies Player Facts
- Cedric Coward is one of only seven qualified players in the league to be leading their team in points (13.3) and rebounds (6.2) per game this season.
Denver Nuggets Player Facts
- Nikola Jokic ranks 1st amongst qualified players for assists per game (10.6) this season.
- Jamal Murray is one of only five players in the league to have recorded 30+ points and 10+ assists in consecutive games this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Grizzlies rank 28th in the league for opponent offensive rebounds per game this season (12.3).
- The Grizzlies are one of only three teams to record four or more wins when trailing by a margin of 10+ points at HT this season.
- The Nuggets rank 1st in the league for points per game this season (120.7).
- The Nuggets rank 30th in the league for steals per game this season (7.0).
Grizzlies vs Nuggets Prediction
The Nuggets are still keeping an eye on Peyton Watson with that hamstring injury, while the Grizzlies have ruled out Ja Morant, Zach Edey, Santi Aldama, Brandon Clarke and Scotty Pippen Jr. The Nuggets are still tallying wins despite playing below their best but they would’ve taken plenty of confidence from their dominant win over the 76ers last night. In contrast, the Grizzlies have been absolutely ice-cold and things went from bad to worse after getting trampled by the Bulls in an ugly 25-point defeat on Monday. The Nuggets are playing their second game of a back-to-back set, but they were able to pull their starters early last night, so I will gladly take the Nuggets to earn a win and cover on the road.

