NBA Picks
Grizzlies vs Bucks Prediction 12/26/25 NBA Picks Today
Milwaukee Bucks (12-18) vs. Memphis Grizzlies (14-16)
December 26, 2025 8:00 pm EDT
The Line: Memphis Grizzlies -4.5; Over/Under: 226.5
(Get latest betting odds)
The Memphis Grizzlies play host to the Milwaukee Bucks at the FedExForum on Friday night. Here’s a Grizzlies vs Bucks Prediction. This article will include a Grizzlies vs Bucks Pick.
Milwaukee Bucks Betting Preview
The Milwaukee Bucks have been in a rut as they’ve lost five of their last seven games overall. But they will be feeling much better after they snapped a three-game losing streak with a 111-94 road win over the Pacers on Tuesday. Kevin Porter Jr led the team with 24 points, six rebounds and five assists, Ryan Rollins provided the spark off the bench with 23 points, seven rebounds and four assists on 10 of 15 shooting while Kyle Kuzma chipped in with 15 points. As a team, the Bucks shot 51 percent from the field and 10 of 30 from the 3-point line as they started the game like a desperate team and jumped all over the Pacers from the start. They didn’t take their foot off the gas until their lead ballooned to 25 points at one stage.
Memphis Grizzlies Betting Preview
Meanwhile, the Memphis Grizzlies have been in pretty good form as they’ve won 10 of their last 15 games overall and they will be eager to keep it going after taking down the Jazz in a 137-128 road win on Tuesday. Santi Aldama led the team with 37 points and seven assists on 13 of 21 shooting, Jaren Jackson Jr added 21 points on nine of 16 shooting while GG Jackson chipped in with 18 points on seven of nine shooting. As a team, the Grizzlies shot 56 percent from the field and 19 of 45 from the 3-point line as they set the tone with 37 points in the first quarter to take a narrow lead into halftime. Before they exploded for 40 points in the third quarter to lead by 15 points, which was more than enough to hold off a late rally from the Jazz.
Why the Memphis Grizzlies will win
- The Bucks have lost each of their last eight games following a win.
- The Grizzlies have won each of their last seven games against the Bucks.
- The Bucks have failed to cover the spread in each of their last nine games as underdogs against Southwest Division opponents.
- The Grizzlies have covered the spread in each of their last seven games against the Bucks.
Why the Milwaukee Bucks will win
- The underdogs have won each of the last four games between the Bucks and Grizzlies.
- The Grizzlies have lost each of their last six games against Eastern Conference opponents.
- The Bucks have covered the spread in each of their last eight road games on the first leg of a back-to-back against Western Conference opponents.
- The Grizzlies have failed to cover the spread in 12 of their last 13 home games following a win.
Total Points Facts
- Eight of the Grizzlies’ last nine games as favorites following a road win have gone UNDER the total points line.
- Seven of the Bucks’ last eight games have gone UNDER the total points line.
Grizzlies vs Bucks Prediction
The Bucks are still missing Giannis Antetokounmpo, and they have Gary Trent Jr listed as questionable, while the Grizzlies have ruled out Brandon Clarke, Zach Edey and Ty Jerome with Ja Morant and Cedric Coward both questionable. The Bucks were in a bad slump before they took down the Pacers in a big win on Tuesday, but it’s the Grizzlies who open as favorites. They’ve clearly been the team in better form despite missing so many players due to injury. The availability of Morant could have an impact on the line for this contest, so be sure to check the lineups before tipoff. With that being said, The Grizzlies are on a roll now, and I think they can maintain their momentum with a win and cover at this short line at home.
