Boston Celtics (62-37) vs. Miami Heat (64-35)
May 29, 2022 8:30 pm EDT
The Line: Miami Heat +2.5 - Over/Under: 197
(Get latest betting odds)
The Boston Celtics and Miami Heat meet Sunday in game 7 of the NBA Eastern Conference Finals at the FTX Arena. The Boston Celtics look to make their first NBA Finals since the 2009-10 season. The Miami Heat have a chance to make the NBA Finals for the second time in the last three years.
The Boston Celtics are averaging 107.5 points on 45.6 percent shooting and allowing 101.3 points on 43.3 percent shooting. Jayson Tatum is averaging 27.1 points and 5.9 rebounds, while Jaylen Brown is averaging 22.9 points and 3.4 assists. Marcus Smart is the third double-digit scorer and Al Horford is grabbing 9.3 rebounds. The Boston Celtics are shooting 36.3 percent from beyond the arc and 81.1 percent from the free throw line. The Boston Celtics are allowing 32.3 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 42.4 rebounds per game.
The Miami Heat are averaging 104.7 points on 44.7 percent shooting and allowing 100.4 points on 44.8 percent shooting. Jimmy Butler is averaging 26.9 points and 7.3 rebounds, while Bam Adebayo is averaging 14.2 points and 7.8 rebounds. Tyler Herro is the third double-digit scorer and Max Strus is grabbing 3.8 rebounds. The Miami Heat are shooting 31.9 percent from beyond the arc and 81.3 percent from the free throw line. The Miami Heat are allowing 33.8 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 40.9 rebounds per game.
The Celtics are 20-6-1 ATS in their last 27 road games and 5-2 ATS in their last 7 Sunday games. The Heat are 9-3 ATS in their last 12 home games and 3-7 ATS in their last 10 playoff games as an underdog. The over is 5-2 in Celtics last 7 Sunday games. The under is 11-5 in Heat last 16 overall. The Celtics are 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings in Miami.
I get the Heat are banged up and didn’t shoot well in their last two tries at home, but these totals are getting ridiculously low. We just saw these teams combined for 214 points on Friday night. You almost never see totals under 200 points in today’s NBA. The over has still cashed in five of the last eight meetings between the Celtics and Heat. I’m taking the over damn near every time we see a total this low.
