NBA Picks

Miami Heat vs Dallas Mavericks Prediction 4-10-24 Picks

Dallas Mavericks (49-30) vs. Miami Heat (44-35)
April 10, 2024 7:30 pm EDT
The Line: Miami Heat +5.5; Over/Under: +219.5
(Get latest betting odds)

The Dallas Mavericks and Miami Heat meet Wednesday in NBA action at the Kaseya Center. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Mavericks vs Heat prediction.

Dallas Mavericks Betting Preview

The Dallas Mavericks are coming off wins over the Hawks, Rockets, Warriors, and Hornets. The Dallas Mavericks are averaging 118.6 points on 48.3 percent shooting and allowing 116 points on 47.5 percent shooting. Luka Doncic is averaging 33.9 points and 9.8 assists, while Kyrie Irving is averaging 25.8 points and 5 rebounds. Tim Hardaway Jr. is the third double-digit scorer and PJ Washington is grabbing 6.3 rebounds. The Dallas Mavericks are shooting 37.3 percent from beyond the arc and 75.9 percent from the free throw line. The Dallas Mavericks are allowing 36.9 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 42.8 rebounds per game.

Miami Heat Betting Preview

The Miami Heat recently beat the Rockets, Knicks, and Hawks while losing to the 76ers and Pacers. The Miami Heat are averaging 110 points on 46.4 percent shooting and allowing 108.5 points on 46.9 percent shooting. Jimmy Butler is averaging 21.1 points and 5.3 rebounds, while Tyler Herro is averaging 20.7 points and 5.3 rebounds. Bam Adebayo is the third double-digit scorer and Terry Rozier is grabbing 4.2 rebounds. The Miami Heat are shooting 36.9 percent from beyond the arc and 81.8 percent from the free throw line. The Miami Heat are allowing 35.6 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 42.2 rebounds per game. The Heat will meet the Raptors after this one.

Miami Heat Team Facts

  • The Heat have lost each of their last 12 games as home underdogs.
  • The Heat have failed to cover the spread in each of their last seven games as home underdogs against Western Conference opponents.
  • Each of the Heat’s last seven games have gone OVER the total points line.

Dallas Mavericks Team Facts

  • The Mavericks have won each of their last nine games against Southeast Division opponents.
  • The Mavericks have covered the spread in each of their last nine road games on the second leg of a back-to-back.
  • Nine of the Mavericks’ last 10 games against opponents who are on the second leg of a back-to-back have gone UNDER the total points line.

Mavericks vs Heat prediction

The Heat have the ability to win this game outright if they actually decide to show up, but they’re the kings of inconsistency and you can’t trust them. The Heat are also coming off a double overtime game last night, so there’s sure to be tired legs. The Heat could also be without Robinson and Rozier due to injuries. The Mavs are playing their best ball of the season, which includes wins and covers in 9 of their last 10 games. I don’t trust the Heat from game to game, and last night’s efforts don’t help given the extra two periods. Give me the Mavs and the chalk.

Randy Chambers's Free Pick: Dallas Mavericks -5.5

Need More? Get Premium Picks

Randy Chambers

Randy has covered sports betting since 2014 and writes about everything from NFL to WNBA. Follow Randy Chambers on Twitter.

Related Articles

Back to top button