NBA Picks

Miami Heat vs New Orleans Pelicans Prediction 3-22-24 Picks

New Orleans Pelicans (42-27) vs. Miami Heat (38-31)
March 22, 2024 8:00 pm EDT
The Line: Miami Heat -4; Over/Under: +209.5
(Get latest betting odds)

The New Orleans Pelicans and Miami Heat meet Friday in NBA action at the Kaseya Center. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Pelicans vs Heat prediction.

New Orleans Pelicans Betting Preview

The New Orleans Pelicans recently beat the Trail Blazers and Nets while losing to the Magic. The New Orleans Pelicans are averaging 116 points on 48.9 percent shooting and allowing 110.7 points on 45.9 percent shooting. Zion Williamson is averaging 22.7 points and 5.8 rebounds, while Brandon Ingram is averaging 21 points and 5.1 rebounds. CJ McCollum is the third double-digit scorer and Trey Murphy III is grabbing 4.3 rebounds. The New Orleans Pelicans are shooting 38 percent from beyond the arc and 76.8 percent from the free throw line. The New Orleans Pelicans are allowing 34.6 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 44.6 rebounds per game.

Miami Heat Betting Preview

The Miami Heat recently lost to the 76ers, while beating the Pistons and Cavaliers. The Miami Heat are averaging 109.7 points on 46.4 percent shooting and allowing 109.2 points on 46.9 percent shooting. Jimmy Butler is averaging 21.6 points and 5.4 rebounds, while Tyler Herro is averaging 20.8 points and 5.3 rebounds. Bam Adebayo is the third double-digit scorer and Terry Rozier is grabbing 4.6 rebounds. The Miami Heat are shooting 37 percent from beyond the arc and 81.3 percent from the free throw line. The Miami Heat are allowing 36 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 42.2 rebounds per game.

Miami Heat Team Facts

  • The Heat have won each of their last nine games when playing with a rest advantage against the Pelicans.
  • The Heat have covered the spread in each of their last eight games when playing with a rest advantage against the Pelicans.
  • Each of the Heat’s last eight games as favorites against opponents who are on the second leg of a back-to-back have gone UNDER the total points line.

New Orleans Pelicans Team Facts

  • The Pelicans have lost each of their last nine games when playing with a rest disadvantage against the Heat.
  • The Pelicans have failed to cover the spread in each of their last nine games when playing with a rest disadvantage against the Heat.
  • Each of the Pelicans’ last four road games following a road loss have gone UNDER the total points line.

Pelicans vs Heat prediction

The Pelicans are attractive in the underdog role with the way they’re playing, but they’re on the end of a back to back and Ingram suffered a knee injury. I’m going to assume Ingram doesn’t play in this game, and that’s a big blow. The Heat are coming off a nice win over Cleveland on Wednesday, and they need all the wins they can get to stay out of the play-in tournament. This is a pleasant spot at home with the rest advantage. The Heat have won 7 straight games against the Pelicans, which includes a road win last month as two point underdogs. I’ll lay the reasonable chalk with the Heat.

Randy Chambers's Free Pick: Miami Heat -4

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Randy Chambers

Randy has covered sports betting since 2014 and writes about everything from NFL to WNBA. Follow Randy Chambers on Twitter.

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