Miami Heat (31-27) vs. Milwaukee Bucks (24-31)
February 24, 2026 8:00 pm EDT
The Line: Milwaukee Bucks +5.5; Over/Under: 228.5
(Get latest betting odds)
The Miami Heat and the Milwaukee Bucks duke it out at the Fiserv Forum on Tuesday night. Here’s a Bucks vs. Heat prediction. This article will include a Bucks vs. Heat pick.
Miami Heat Betting Preview
The Miami Heat have been in decent form as they’ve won four of their last five games overall, and they will be gunning for a fourth straight victory after blowing past the Grizzlies in a 136-120 home win on Saturday. Andrew Wiggins led the team with 28 points on nine of 10 shooting, Norman Powell added 25 points with six assists on 10 of 16 shooting, and Kel’el Ware tallied 11 points with 15 rebounds off the bench. As a team, the Heat shot 52 percent from the field and 13 of 36 from the 3-point line as they set the tone with 39 points in the first quarter to take the early lead, but this game was close until the third quarter, where the Heat poured in another 39 points to lead by as many as 24 points.
Milwaukee Bucks Betting Preview
Meanwhile, the Milwaukee Bucks were on a great run as they had won six of seven games before they got stopped by the Raptors in a 122-94 defeat on Sunday. Kevin Porter Jr. and Ryan Rollins each scored 21 points, Cam Thomas added 15 points off the bench, and Myles Turner chipped in with 14 points and two blocks. As a team, the Bucks shot just 41 percent from the field and nine of 32 from the 3-point line, but this loss was more about their defense as they were always on the back foot after allowing 38 points in the second quarter. The Bucks had trouble making their shots early, and that was compounded by their sloppiness with the ball, as they finished with a total of 19 turnovers for the game.
Why the Milwaukee Bucks will win
- The Heat have lost each of their last four games as road favorites against Central Division opponents following a win.
- The underdogs have won four of the Bucks’ last five games at Fiserv Forum.
- The Heat have failed to cover the spread in each of their last nine games as road favorites against Central Division opponents following a win.
- The Bucks have covered the spread in seven of their last eight games against the Heat.
Why the Miami Heat will win
- The Bucks have lost each of their last 10 games as underdogs following a home loss.
- The Heat have won each of their last six road games against teams that held a losing record.
- The Heat have covered the spread in each of their last seven road games.
- The Bucks have failed to cover the spread in each of their last five home games against teams that held a winning record.
Total Points Facts
- Each of the Heat’s last seven road games against Eastern Conference opponents has gone UNDER the total points line.
- Six of the Bucks’ last seven home games on the first leg of a back-to-back have gone OVER the total points line.
Milwaukee Bucks Player Facts
- Bobby Portis is the only qualified player in the league to be leading their team in rebounds per game (6.7) and three-point shooting percentage (44.7%) this season.
- Myles Turner is one of only three qualified players in the league averaging at least 1.5 threes and 1.5 blocks this season.
Miami Heat Player Facts
- Kel’el Ware has recorded 11+ rebounds in three consecutive appearances—equaling the longest active streak of any player in the league.
- Norman Powell ranks 6th amongst qualified players for fast break points per game (3.7) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Bucks rank 30th in the league for offensive rebounds per game this season (8.8).
- The Bucks rank 30th in the league for free throw percentage this season (73.8%).
- The Heat rank first in the league for field goals made per game this season (43.6).
- The Heat rank 1st in the league for field goal attempts per game this season (94.1).
Bucks vs Heat Prediction
The Heat are still missing Nikola Jovic, with Davion Mitchell listed as questionable with an illness, while the Bucks have ruled out Giannis Antetokounmpo once again. The Heat have been able to get some players back from injury, and it’s translated into instant success for them, while the Bucks were starting to really heat up before they got stopped by the Raptors in an ugly defeat in their last outing. It’s hard to split these two teams at the moment, but I like what I’ve seen from the Heat over the past week or so, and I think they can maintain their momentum with a narrow win and cover in this spot.
