Denver Nuggets (1-1) vs. Minnesota Timberwolves (2-1)
October 27, 2025 9:30 pm EDT
The Line: Minnesota Timberwolves +5.5; Over/Under:
(Get latest betting odds)
The Denver Nuggets and the Minnesota Timberwolves duke it out at the Target Center on Monday night. Here’s a Timberwolves vs Nuggets Prediction. This article will include a Timberwolves vs Nuggets Pick.
Denver Nuggets Betting Preview
The Denver Nuggets dropped their season opener, but they will be feeling much better after blowing past the Suns in a 133-111 home win on Saturday night. Jamal Murray led the team in scoring with 23 points, six rebounds and five assists, Christian Braun added 20 points on six of 10 shooting, Aaron Gordon added 17 points while Nikola Jokic tallied a triple-double of 14 points with 14 rebounds and 15 assists.
As a team, the Nuggets shot 51 percent from the field and nine of 31 from the 3-point line as they hit the ground running and poured in 71 points in the first half to take an early double-digit lead. They just never took their foot off the gas against the struggling Suns, who only had three players finish in double figures in scoring. In contrast, the Nuggets had a total of seven players scoring at least 11 points, and they were never in danger despite a relatively quiet game from Jokic, who finished with five turnovers.
Minnesota Timberwolves Betting Preview
Meanwhile, the Minnesota Timberwolves have begun their season in decent form as they’ve won two of their first three games and they will be eager to keep it going after sneaking past the Pacers in a 114-110 home win last night. Julius Randle led the team with 31 points and six assists on 11 of 18 shooting, Donte DiVincenzo added 17 points, Naz Reid contributed 16 points and 10 rebounds in 23 minutes off the bench while Rudy Gobert tallied 14 points with 19 rebounds and two blocks.
As a team, the Timberwolves shot 46 percent from the field and 10 of 33 from the 3-point line as they got off to a sluggish start and trailed going into halftime. Before they took control behind their defense, holding the Pacers to just 17 points in the third quarter to open up an 11-point lead and escape with the gritty victory without Anthony Edwards. He left the game in the first quarter with hamstring tightness.
Why the Minnesota Timberwolves will win
- The Timberwolves have won each of their last six games as underdogs against the Nuggets following a win.
- The Nuggets have lost each of their last five games against Timberwolves teams that held a winning record.
- The Timberwolves have covered the spread in each of their last nine games as home underdogs against Western Conference opponents.
- The Nuggets have failed to cover the spread in each of their last five games against Timberwolves teams that held a winning record.
Why the Denver Nuggets will win
- The Nuggets have won each of their last 10 games as road favorites against opponents who are on the second leg of a back-to-back.
- The Timberwolves have lost six of their last seven home games when playing with a rest disadvantage.
- The Timberwolves have failed to cover the spread in each of their last four games.
- The road team has covered the spread in four of the last five games between the Nuggets and Timberwolves.
Total Points Facts
- Seven of the Timberwolves’ last eight games as home underdogs have gone OVER the total points line.
- Each of the Nuggets’ last four games have gone OVER the total points line.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Timberwolves rank 2nd in the league for Q1 points per game this season (33.7).
- The Timberwolves rank 3rd in the league for Q4 opponent points per game this season (24.0).
- The Nuggets rank T1st in the league for points per game this season (132.0).
- The Nuggets rank T1st in the league for assists per game this season (31.5).
Timberwolves vs Nuggets Prediction
The Nuggets don’t have a single player listed on the injury report, while the Timberwolves have again ruled out Rob Dillingham, and they are keeping an eye on Anthony Edwards, who left last night’s game with hamstring tightness. The Nuggets were an impressive 24-17 on the road last season, and they will likely be up against a weakened Timberwolves squad, who aren’t nearly as dangerous without Edwards carrying their scoring. The line has moved from one point to almost six points, which is understandable given the injury to Edwards, but I still think there’s value with the Nuggets in this spot.
