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Timberwolves vs Nuggets Prediction 11/15/25 NBA Picks Today
Denver Nuggets (9-2) vs. Minnesota Timberwolves (8-4)
November 15, 2025 8:00 pm EDT
The Line: Minnesota Timberwolves -1; Over/Under: +1
(Get latest betting odds)
The Minnesota Timberwolves play host to the Denver Nuggets at the Target Center on Saturday night. Here’s a Timberwolves vs Nuggets Prediction. This article will include a Timberwolves vs Nuggets Pick.
Denver Nuggets Betting Preview
The Denver Nuggets have been on fire as they’ve won nine of their first 11 games of the season. They will be eager to build on their current six-game win streak after routing the Clippers in a 130-116 road win on Wednesday. Nikola Jokic has been in terrific form and led the team with 55 points, 12 rebounds and six assists on 18 of 23 shooting, Aaron Gordon added 18 points while Jamal Murray chipped in with 15 points and four assists.
As a team, the Nuggets shot 52 percent from the field and 13 of 34 from the 3-point line as they trailed going into halftime despite scoring 39 points in the first quarter. But they corrected that with a 43-point explosion in the third quarter to lead by as many as 22 points in this one.
Minnesota Timberwolves Betting Preview
Meanwhile, the Minnesota Timberwolves have been in pretty good form themselves as they’ve won six of their past seven games and they will be gunning for a fifth straight victory after routing the Kings in a 124-110 win last night. Anthony Edwards led the team with 30 points on nine of 20 shooting, Julius Randle added 26 points with 11 rebounds and five assists while Donte DiVincenzo chipped in with 29 points, six rebounds and five assists.
As a team, the Timberwolves shot 49 percent from the field and 12 of 37 from the 3-point line as they battled the pesky Kings in a close contest all the way until the fourth quarter. They went on a pivotal 9-0 run and turned that into a 19-point lead.
Why the Minnesota Timberwolves will win
- The Timberwolves have won each of their last five games against Nuggets teams that held a winning record.
- The Nuggets have lost five of their last six games against Timberwolves teams that held a winning record.
- The Timberwolves have covered the spread in each of their last six home games against Northwest Division opponents that held a winning record.
- The Nuggets have failed to cover the spread in five of their last six games against Timberwolves teams that held a winning record.
Why the Denver Nuggets will win
- The Nuggets have won each of their last six games.
- The Timberwolves have lost seven of their last eight home games when playing with a rest disadvantage.
- The Nuggets have covered the spread in each of their last five games.
- The Timberwolves have failed to cover the spread in each of their last four games when playing with a rest disadvantage.
Total Points Facts
- Seven of the Timberwolves’ last eight home games against Western Conference opponents have gone OVER the total points line.
- Six of the Nuggets’ last seven games at Target Center have gone OVER the total points line.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Timberwolves rank 1st in the league for true shooting percentage this season (62.3%).
- The Timberwolves rank 1st in the league for effective field goal percentage this season (58.8%).
- The Nuggets rank 1st in the league for field goal percentage this season (50.9%).
- The Nuggets rank 1st in the league for opponent three-point percentage this season (31.7%).
Timberwolves vs Nuggets Prediction
The Nuggets are still missing Cameron Johnson and Christian Braun with Nikola Jokic also listed as questionable, while the Timberwolves are coming in with a full squad once again. While the Timberwolves are coming into this game with plenty of momentum with six wins in their past seven games, it is still the Nuggets who have been the hotter team so far.
However, there is an injury cloud hanging over Jokic who has been in sensational form for the Nuggets lately, which is why the Timberwolves open as slight favorites at home. Even though they are playing their second game of a back to back set. The line could shift significantly if Jokic is able to suit up, but as things are right now, I prefer a play on the Timberwolves to get a statement win at home.