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Minnesota Timberwolves vs Denver Nuggets Prediction 5-12-24 Picks

Denver Nuggets (62-28) vs. Minnesota Timberwolves (62-27)
May 12, 2024 8:00 pm EDT
The Line: Minnesota Timberwolves -2.5; Over/Under: +204.5
(Get latest betting odds)

The Minnesota Timberwolves play host to the Denver Nuggets in NBA Game 4 at the Ball Arena on Sunday night. Here’s a Minnesota Timberwolves vs Denver Nuggets Prediction.

Minnesota Timberwolves

The Minnesota Timberwolves must have been full of confidence following their second road win to start the series, but they are now hoping to bounce back after getting humbled by the Nuggets in a tough loss in Game 3. Anthony Edwards led the team with 19 points, six rebounds and five assists, Karl-Anthony Towns added 14 points while Mike Conley chipped in with 10 points and six assists. As a team, the Timberwolves shot 43 percent from the field and 10 of 33 from the 3-point line as they struggled to match the urgency of the Nuggets from the start and quickly found themselves trailing by as many as 34 points in what was a rude awakening.

Denver Nuggets

Meanwhile, the Denver Nuggets will be looking to square up the series after making it look easy against the Timberwolves in a dominant 117-90 win in Game 3 on Friday. Nikola Jokic led the team with 24 points, 14 rebounds and nine assists, Jamal Murray added 24 points with five assists while Michael Porter Jr chipped in with 21 points. As a team, the Nuggets shot 53 percent from the field and 14 of 29 from the 3-point line as they set the tone early, holding the Timberwolves to just 41 points in the first half to take the early lead, before they exploded for 37 points in the third quarter to put the game to bed.

Why the Minnesota Timberwolves will win

  • The Timberwolves have won each of their last six games following a loss.
  • The Nuggets have lost each of their last four road games against Northwest Division opponents after winning as underdogs.
  • The Timberwolves have covered the spread in eight of their last nine playoff games.
  • The Nuggets have failed to cover the spread in each of their last four road games against Northwest Division opponents after winning as underdogs.

Why the Denver Nuggets will win

  • The Nuggets have won each of their last five playoff games as road underdogs.
  • The Timberwolves have lost 13 of their last 23 games as home favorites against Northwest Division opponents following a loss.
  • The underdogs have covered the spread in each of the Nuggets’ last seven games.
  • The Timberwolves have failed to cover the spread in five of their last six games as home favorites against Northwest Division opponents.

Total Points Facts

  • Seven of the Timberwolves’ last eight home games against Western Conference opponents have gone OVER the total points line.
  • Each of the Nuggets’ last four Western Conference Semifinals road games against Northwest Division opponents have gone OVER the total points line.

Minnesota Timberwolves vs Denver Nuggets Prediction

The Timberwolves are coming into this one with a full squad once again, while the Nuggets are keeping eyes on Jamal Murray, Reggie Jackson and Kentavious Caldwell-Pope, who are all questionable. The Timberwolves just couldn’t recover from a slow start in Game 3, and you have to point some of the blame at Edwards, who scored just eight points in the first half. The Nuggets were able to get back to their old habits with their backs against the wall, but they might be in trouble if they think it will be so easy this time. I’m expecting a much closer contest, but I just can’t resist the Nuggets as underdogs in this spot.

Peter Tran's Free Pick: Denver +2.5

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Peter Tran

Peter Trans is an acclaimed Expert NBA Handicapper, renowned for his insightful analysis and predictions in the world of professional basketball. With a keen eye for detail and a deep understanding of the game, Peter has established himself as a trusted authority among basketball enthusiasts and bettors alike. His expertise is showcased on SportsChatPlace.com, where he provides in-depth game analyses, betting tips, and forecasts that are both highly informative and remarkably accurate.

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