Timberwolves vs Rockets Prediction 3/25/26 NBA Picks Today
Houston Rockets (43-28) vs. Minnesota Timberwolves (44-28)
March 25, 2026 9:30 pm EDT
The Line: Minnesota Timberwolves +1.5; Over/Under: 223.5
(Get latest betting odds)
The Houston Rockets travel to the Target Center to take on the Minnesota Timberwolves on Wednesday night. Here’s a Timberwolves vs. Rockets Prediction. This article will include a Timberwolves vs. Rockets Pick.
Houston Rockets Betting Preview
The Houston Rockets have been in decent shape as they’ve split their last 14 games, but they will be hoping for a better effort in this one after having their two-game win streak snapped by the lowly Bulls in a 132-124 road defeat on Monday. Kevin Durant led the team with 40 points, seven rebounds and five assists; Alperen Sengun racked up a triple-double of 33 points with 13 rebounds and 10 assists, while Amen Thompson chipped in with 23 points on eight of 12 shooting. As a team, the Rockets shot 53 percent from the field and 11 of 41 from the 3-point line as they worked so hard to reclaim the lead after trailing by as many as 22 points, but it still wasn’t enough to get past the Bulls, who went on a crucial 6-0 run in the final 1:18 of the fourth quarter to slip away in the end.
Minnesota Timberwolves Betting Preview
Meanwhile, the Minnesota Timberwolves have been in fine form, as they’ve won four of their last six games overall and they will be eager to keep it going after beating the Celtics in a 102-92 road win on Sunday. Bones Hyland led the team with 23 points on eight of 14 shooting, Jaden McDaniels added 19 points, and Ayo Dosunmu chipped in with 17 points, eight rebounds and six assists. As a team, the Timberwolves shot 43 percent from the field and 12 of 33 from the 3-point line as they got off to a slow start and scored just 14 points in the first quarter to trail by 15 points early on, but they clawed their way back before they dominated the fourth quarter by 26-15 to cap off the solid comeback win on the road.
Why the Minnesota Timberwolves will win
- The Rockets have lost each of their last four games as road favorites against Western Conference opponents.
- The Timberwolves have won five of their last six games as home underdogs when playing with a rest advantage.
- The Rockets have failed to cover the spread in each of their last six night games against Western Conference opponents that held a winning record.
- The Timberwolves have covered the spread in nine of their last 10 games as home underdogs following a road win.
Why the Houston Rockets will win
- The Rockets have won each of their last 10 games as favorites against the Timberwolves following a loss.
- The Timberwolves have lost each of their last six games as underdogs after winning as underdogs.
- The Rockets have covered the spread in nine of their last 10 games as favorites against Northwest Division opponents following a loss.
- The Timberwolves have failed to cover the spread in each of their last five home games against Southwest Division opponents.
Total Points Facts
- Seven of the Rockets’ last eight games as road favorites against the Timberwolves have gone OVER the total points line.
- Each of the Timberwolves’ last five home games against Southwest Division opponents has gone UNDER the total points line.
Timberwolves vs Rockets Prediction
The Rockets will again be without Fred VanVleet and Steven Adams, while the Timberwolves have ruled out Anthony Edwards, with Ayo Dosunmu listed as questionable. These teams have already met once this season, with the Rockets beating the Timberwolves by 110-105 back on Jan 16 and I think they can get a repeat result in this one given that the Timberwolves are still missing their leading scorer. The Rockets would’ve been disappointed with their last defeat to the Bulls, but I expect them to bounce back with a win and cover at this short line.

