Memphis Grizzlies (12-14) vs. Minnesota Timberwolves (17-9)
December 17, 2025 8:00 pm EDT
The Line: Minnesota Timberwolves -7.5; Over/Under: 233.5
(Get latest betting odds)
The Minnesota Timberwolves play host to the Memphis Grizzlies at the Target Center on Wednesday night. Here’s a Timberwolves vs Grizzlies Prediction. This article will include a Timberwolves vs Grizzlies Pick.
Memphis Grizzlies Betting Preview
The Memphis Grizzlies have been in great shape as they’ve won eight of their last 11 games overall and they will be eager to keep it going after blowing past the slumping Clippers in a 121-103 road win on Monday. Jaren Jackson Jr led the team with 31 points on 13 of 18 shooting, Cam Spencer provided the spark off the bench with 27 points with six assists on nine of 13 shooting while Jaylen Wells chipped in with 16 points. As a team, the Grizzlies shot 52 percent from the field and 16 of 39 from the 3-point line as they took control of the contest early thanks to Jackson Jr who scored 21 of his 31 points in the first half. They kept their foot on the gas to blow the lead out to 23 points in the fourth quarter. Ja Morant had a quiet game of just 12 points with four assists in 21 minutes of action, while Santi Aldama scored just three points in 31 minutes.
Minnesota Timberwolves Betting Preview
Meanwhile, the Minnesota Timberwolves have been on a tear as they’ve won seven of their last eight games overall, and they will be aiming for a third straight victory after taking down the Kings in a 117-103 home win on Sunday. Julius Randle led the team with 24 points and 10 rebounds, Jaden McDaniels added 21 points, Naz Reid scored 20 points with 11 rebounds off the bench, while Donte DiVincenzo and Bones Hyland scored 18 points each. As a team, the Timberwolves shot 46 percent from the field and 12 of 37 from the 3-point line as they got off to a sluggish start. They actually trailed going into halftime before they woke up and dominated the second half by 66-51 to win comfortably in the end.
Why the Minnesota Timberwolves will win
- The Grizzlies have lost each of their last 18 games against Western Conference opponents that held a winning record.
- The Timberwolves have won each of their last 11 home games against teams that held a losing record.
- The Grizzlies have failed to cover the spread in each of their last 13 games as underdogs against Northwest Division opponents following a win.
- The Timberwolves have covered the spread in five of their last six home games against Southwest Division opponents.
Why the Memphis Grizzlies will win
- The Grizzlies have won three of their last four games as underdogs.
- The Timberwolves have lost four of their last eight games as home favorites against Southwest Division opponents following a win.
- The Timberwolves have failed to cover the spread in each of their last seven Wednesday games against Western Conference opponents that held a losing record.
- The road team has covered the spread in each of the last four games between the Grizzlies and Timberwolves.
Total Points Facts
- Fourteen of the Timberwolves’ last 15 home games against Southwest Division opponents have gone OVER the total points line.
- Each of the Grizzlies’ last four road games against Northwest Division opponents have gone UNDER the total points line.
Minnesota Timberwolves Player Facts
- Rudy Gobert ranks 1st amongst qualified players for FG% (74.5%) this season.
- Donte DiVincenzo has recorded seven games with 4+ assists and zero turnovers this season – most of any player in the league.
Memphis Grizzlies Player Facts
- Jaren Jackson Jr. is one of only two players in the league to have recorded 6+ blocks in a game this season.
- Ja Morant ranks 3rd amongst qualified players for FT% (92.4%) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Timberwolves rank 1st in the league for H2 win percentage this season (76.9%).
- The Timberwolves have used only four different starting fives this season – fewest in the league.
- The Grizzlies rank 1st in the league for opponent free throws made per game this season (16.3).
- Eight different Grizzlies players have scored 25+ points in a game this season – equal-most in the league.
Timberwolves vs Grizzlies Prediction
The Grizzlies have ruled out Cam Spencer, Javon Small, Zach Edey and Ty Jerome with Ja Morant and Brandon Clarke both listed as questionable. The Timberwolves have ruled out Mike Conley, and they are keeping an eye on Anthony Edwards, who is questionable for this one. This is definitely a game where you should check the lineups before tipoff given the dark injury cloud hanging over the entire Grizzlies’ roster. The Grizzlies are coming into this game with plenty of momentum, but they’re just so banged up already that I don’t know if they have enough firepower if Morant and Spencer sit out. The Timberwolves have quietly been one of the hottest teams in the league and they are still solid favorites despite the questionable tag on Edwards. This is a tough one to pick, so while I like the Timberwolves to stay hot with the win, I am backing the Grizzlies to keep this one close at the end.
