Milwaukee Bucks (11-17) vs. Minnesota Timberwolves (18-10)
December 21, 2025 7:00 pm EDT
The Line: Minnesota Timberwolves -11.5; Over/Under: 224.5
(Get latest betting odds)
The Minnesota Timberwolves play host to the Milwaukee Bucks at the Target Center on Sunday night. Here’s a Timberwolves vs Bucks Prediction. This article will include a Timberwolves vs Bucks Pick.
Milwaukee Bucks Betting Preview
The Milwaukee Bucks have been in terrible form as they’ve lost 12 of their last 15 games overall and they will be hoping to snap a two-game skid after getting beaten by the Raptors in a 111-105 loss on Thursday. Bobby Portis led the team in scoring with 24 points and 12 rebounds off the bench, Kevin Porter Jr added 22 points with 13 assists while Myles Turner chipped in with 21 points. As a team, the Bucks shot 45 percent from the field and 15 of 37 from the 3-point line as they worked hard to overcome an early 11-point deficit, but they just couldn’t get over the line with their starters having an off night. AJ Green had a quiet game of just five points on two of five shooting, while Gary Trent Jr shot just one of eight from the field for his three points.
Minnesota Timberwolves Betting Preview
Meanwhile, the Minnesota Timberwolves have been in great form as they’ve won eight of their last 10 games overall and they will be eager to keep it going after taking down the red-hot Thunder in a thrilling 112-107 win on Friday. Anthony Edwards led the team with 26 points and 12 rebounds, Julius Randle added 19 points with eight rebounds and five assists while Donte DiVincenzo and Naz Reid each scored 15 points. As a team, the Timberwolves shot just 38 percent from the field and 13 of 37 from the 3-point line, but they played excellent defense all night. That was the difference in the fourth quarter where they held the Thunder to just five points in the final 2:52 to escape with the gritty win at home.
Why the Minnesota Timberwolves will win
- The Timberwolves have won each of their last 12 games against Eastern Conference opponents that held a losing record.
- The Bucks have lost each of their last seven road games.
- The Bucks have failed to cover the spread in each of their last five games against Western Conference opponents.
- The Timberwolves have covered the spread in four of their last five games when playing with a rest disadvantage.
Why the Milwaukee Bucks will win
- The underdogs have won four of the Timberwolves’ last five games.
- The Timberwolves have lost three of their last four games as favorites against Central Division opponents following a win.
- The Timberwolves have failed to cover the spread in each of their last six home games against Eastern Conference opponents after winning as underdogs.
- The underdogs have covered the spread in seven of the Timberwolves’ last eight games.
Total Points Facts
- Nine of the Timberwolves’ last 10 night games at Target Center have gone UNDER the total points line.
- Six of the Bucks’ last seven games as underdogs have gone UNDER the total points line.
Timberwolves vs Bucks Prediction
The Bucks are still missing Giannis Antetokounmpo, while the Timberwolves are keeping an eye on Mike Conley who is questionable for this one. The Bucks are mired in their worst slump of the season as they’ve struggled without Antetokounmpo to carry their offense, while the Timberwolves have been playing some excellent basketball lately, and they will be brimming with confidence after beating the league-leading Thunder in their last game. The line is hefty for this one, but the Bucks are just a mess at the moment, and I don’t think they can go shot for shot with these Timberwolves if they get off to a slow start. The Timberwolves have all the momentum in the world right now, and I think they keep it going with another win and cover in this spot.
