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Minnesota Timberwolves vs Phoenix Suns Prediction 4-20-24 Picks

Phoenix Suns (49-33) vs. Minnesota Timberwolves (56-26)
April 20, 2024 3:30 pm EDT
The Line: Minnesota Timberwolves -2; Over/Under: +214.5
(Get latest betting odds)

The Phoenix Suns and Minnesota Timberwolves meet Saturday in Game 1 West NBA Playoffs action at the Target Center. Here’s a Suns vs Timberwolves prediction.

Phoenix Suns Betting Preview

The Phoenix Suns are coming off wins over the Clippers, Kings, and Timberwolves. The Phoenix Suns are averaging 116.2 points on 49.3 percent shooting and allowing 113.2 points on 46.4 percent shooting. Kevin Durant is averaging 27.1 points and 5 assists, while Devin Booker is averaging 27.1 points and 4.5 rebounds. Bradley Beal is the third double-digit scorer and Grayson Allen is grabbing 3.9 rebounds. The Phoenix Suns are shooting 38.2 percent from beyond the arc and 80.8 percent from the free throw line. The Phoenix Suns are allowing 36.4 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 44.1 rebounds per game.

Minnesota Timberwolves Betting Preview

The Minnesota Timberwolves recently beat the Lakers, Wizards, and Hawks while losing to the Nuggets and Suns. The Minnesota Timberwolves are averaging 113 points on 48.5 percent shooting and allowing 106.5 points on 45 percent shooting. Anthony Edwards is averaging 25.9 points and 5.4 rebounds, while Karl-Anthony Towns is averaging 21.8 points and 3 assists. Rudy Gobert is the third double-digit scorer and Naz Reid is grabbing 5.2 rebounds. The Minnesota Timberwolves are shooting 38.7 percent from beyond the arc and 77.7 percent from the free throw line. The Minnesota Timberwolves are allowing 35.4 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 43.6 rebounds per game.

Minnesota Timberwolves Team Facts

  • The Timberwolves have lost each of their last 10 day games following a home loss.
  • The Timberwolves have failed to cover the spread in each of their last seven day games following a home loss.
  • Each of the Timberwolves’ last 10 Saturday games at Target Center have gone UNDER the total points line.

Phoenix Suns Team Facts

  • The Suns have won each of their eight previous day games against the Timberwolves following a road win.
  • The Suns have covered the spread in each of their last nine games against the Timberwolves.
  • Each of the Suns’ last four day games against Northwest Division opponents have gone OVER the total points line.

Suns vs Timberwolves prediction

The Timberwolves are getting the benefit of the doubt because they’re at home, where they’re 30-11 SU on the season. The Suns have also been hit or miss all year and right when you’re ready to believe in them, they let you down. With all that said, the Suns have won 9 of the last 10 games against the Timberwolves, which includes a 19 point win earlier this week. The Suns have covered 9 of those games as well. The Suns are 3-0 SU and 3-0 ATS against the Timberwolves this season alone. The Suns clearly have the Timberwolves number, and there’s going to be value with the free points until that changes. Give me the Suns and the free bucket.

Randy Chambers's Free Pick: Phoenix Suns +2

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Randy Chambers

Randy has covered sports betting since 2014 and writes about everything from NFL to WNBA. Follow Randy Chambers on Twitter.

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