Sacramento Kings (8-10) vs. Minnesota Timberwolves (8-8)
November 27, 2024 8:00 pm EDT
The Line: Minnesota Timberwolves -3.5; Over/Under: +224.5
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Minnesota Timberwolves vs Sacramento Kings Player Prop Picks 11-27-24
On November 27, 2024, the Sacramento Kings will face the Minnesota Timberwolves at Target Center. Both teams are hovering around .500 this season. The Kings are known for their potent offense, averaging 116.5 points per game, but have struggled defensively, allowing 112.5 points per game. Sacramento is led by De’Aaron Fox, who contributes 24.6 points per game, alongside Domantas Sabonis, who brings 19.9 points and 12.6 rebounds per contest. The Kings have been particularly strong in ball movement, with Sabonis averaging 6.8 assists per game, which helps fuel their fast-paced offense.
On the other hand, Minnesota excels on defense, holding opponents to 109.3 points per game, and their offense is guided by the high-scoring Anthony Edwards, who leads the Timberwolves with 27.8 points per game. Rudy Gobert provides a strong presence in the paint, averaging 10.4 rebounds and 1.3 blocks per game. The Timberwolves also rely on Mike Conley’s veteran leadership at point guard.
The key to the matchup will likely be whether the Kings can handle the Timberwolves’ defense and how well Minnesota fares against Sacramento’s offensive depth. The Timberwolves will need to find ways to contain Fox and Sabonis, while the Kings must improve their defense to counter Edwards and Gobert’s inside dominance. With both teams eager to improve their standings, this should be a competitive and closely contested game.
Anthony Edwards Over 3.5 Three Pointers
Anthony Edwards has been impressive in the 2024-25 season, averaging 4.9 three-pointers made per game. This places him among the league leaders in terms of his volume of three-point shooting. His shooting efficiency stands at 43.8%, a strong mark for a high-volume shooter. This performance reflects Edwards’ continued growth as a reliable scoring option for the Minnesota Timberwolves.
We’ve seen Anthony Edwards have 2 straight games where he was lethal beyond the arc. He made 5 three-pointers against the Raptors and made 6 three-pointers against the Celtics in his last game. He’ll have a favorable matchup against the Kings who’ve been getting killed from deep. They allow 15.1 three-pointers per game to opposing teams which is the 2nd most in the league.
De’Aaron Fox Over 24.5 Points
De’Aaron Fox has been having a standout 2024-25 season for the Sacramento Kings. Through 18 games, he is averaging 28.1 points per game, ranking among the top scorers in the league. His shooting efficiency is impressive, with a field goal percentage of 50.4% and a three-point shooting rate of 34.5%. He’s also contributing 4.8 rebounds and 5.7 assists per game, showcasing his all-around game.
Fox’s performance has included several high-scoring games, with a career-high 60 points against Minnesota on November 15, which also set a franchise record. Sabonis will have his hands full dealing with Rudy Gobert in the paint. I expect Fox to have to take over and put up a lot of shots if the Kings want to stay in this game. In a game that should be close and competitive expect the Kings leading scorer to have himself a night.
Julius Randle Over 20.5 Points
Julius Randle is having a strong 2024-2025 season, averaging 21.8 points per game (PPG) over 16 games. Alongside his scoring, he contributes 6.6 rebounds and 4.2 assists per game. His shooting splits include 50% from the field, 35.9% from beyond the arc, and an impressive 79.1% from the free-throw line. Randle is taking 14.6 field goal attempts per game, including 4.9 three-point attempts, and has a solid true shooting percentage of 61.8%. He’s also playing 34.4 minutes per game.
Julius Randle has been on fire lately. We’ve seen him have 4 straight 20+ point games including a season-high 25-point game against the Suns on November 17th. As the season goes on I expect Randle to find his groove with this Timberwolves team and continue to have big scoring nights. In what should be a close back & forth game let’s ride with the hot hand.
