Golden State Warriors (8-6) vs. New Orleans Pelicans (2-10)
November 16, 2025 7:00 pm EDT
The Line: New Orleans Pelicans +11.5; Over/Under: 228.5
(Get latest betting odds)
The Golden State Warriors and the New Orleans Pelicans collide at the Smoothie King Center on Sunday night. Here’s a Pelicans vs Warriors Prediction. This article will include a Pelicans vs Warriors Pick.
Golden State Warriors Betting Preview
The Golden State Warriors have been in decent form as they’ve won three of their past four games overall and they will be eager to keep it going after outlasting the Spurs in a thrilling 109-108 road win on Friday. Stephen Curry drained nine 3-pointers to lead the way with 49 points on 16 of 26 shooting, Jimmy Butler III added 21 points with eight rebounds and two steals while Draymond Green tallied six points with eight rebounds and eight assists.
As a team, the Warriors shot just 42 percent from the field and 17 of 45 from the 3-point line as they got off to a slow start. They couldn’t gain any separation from the Spurs until Curry drained the game-winning free throws with just 6.1 seconds left on the clock to save the day. No bench player scored more than 10 points and Moses Moody shot just two of eight from the field for his four points in 30 minutes as a starter.
New Orleans Pelicans Betting Preview
Meanwhile, the New Orleans Pelicans have been in terrible shape as they’ve lost 10 of their first 12 games overall and they will be hoping to avoid a fifth straight defeat after getting routed by the Lakers in a 118-104 loss on Friday. Trey Murphy III led the team with 35 points on 13 of 21 shooting, Jeremiah Fears added 19 points with seven steals on eight of 16 shooting while Saddiq Bey chipped in with 11 points, seven rebounds and seven assists.
As a team, the Pelicans shot 44 percent from the field and 12 of 34 from the 3-point line as they struggled to contain the Lakers from the start. They allowed 65 points in the first half to trail by as many as 22 points before they finished with a flurry in the fourth quarter to make the contest seem closer than it really was.
Why the New Orleans Pelicans will win
- The Warriors have lost each of their last three games as road favorites.
- The home team has won 11 of the Warriors’ last 13 games.
- The Pelicans have covered the spread in each of their last six games against the Warriors following a home loss.
- The Warriors have failed to cover the spread in six of their last seven games as favorites following a win.
Why the Golden State Warriors will win
- The Pelicans have lost each of their last 13 games against teams that held a winning record.
- The favorites have won each of the Pelicans’ last 13 games at Smoothie King Center.
- The Pelicans have failed to cover the spread in each of their last six games as home underdogs.
- The Warriors have covered the spread in eight of their last nine games as road favorites against Western Conference opponents.
Total Points Facts
- Each of the Warriors’ last six games as favorites against the Pelicans have gone UNDER the total points line.
- Each of the Pelicans’ last four games against the Warriors following a home loss have gone UNDER the total points line.
Pelicans vs Warriors Prediction
The Warriors have ruled out Jonathan Kuminga once again, while the Pelicans have ruled out Jordan Poole, with Zion Williamson upgraded to questionable for this one. These teams met four times last season with the Warriors winning each game and three of those wins were blowouts, so I’m not surprised to see the Warriors so heavily favored on the road.
The Pelicans are just banged up right now, and they weren’t able to hang with the Lakers despite a big game from Murphy III on Friday, and I’m expecting more of the same in this spot. The Warriors are in need of a win to get their season back on track, and I think they do just that with a comfortable road win here.
