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New Orleans Pelicans vs Miami Heat Prediction 2-23-24 Picks

Miami Heat (30-25) vs. New Orleans Pelicans (34-22)
February 23, 2024 8:00 pm EDT
The Line: New Orleans Pelicans -3; Over/Under: +224.5
(Get latest betting odds)

The Miami Heat look for a win after winning 4 of their last 5 games. The New Orleans Pelicans are riding a 4-game winning streak. Let’s preview this game and give out a Miami Heat vs New Orleans Pelicans prediction.

Miami Heat Betting Preview

The Miami Heat recently beat the 76ers and Bucks while losing to the Celtics. The Miami Heat are averaging 110.6 points on 46.3 percent shooting and allowing 110.4 points on 47.4 percent shooting. Jimmy Butler is averaging 21.4 points and 5.5 rebounds, while Tyler Herro is averaging 21 points and 5.3 rebounds. Bam Adebayo is the third double-digit scorer and Duncan Robinson is grabbing 2.4 rebounds. The Miami Heat are shooting 37.2 percent from beyond the arc and 82.4 percent from the free throw line. The Miami Heat are allowing 36.4 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 42.2 rebounds per game.

New Orleans Pelicans Betting Preview

The New Orleans Pelicans are coming off wins over the Trail Blazers, Grizzlies, Wizards, and Rockets. The New Orleans Pelicans are averaging 116.5 points on 48.9 percent shooting and allowing 112.2 points on 46.5 percent shooting. Zion Williamson is averaging 22.4 points and 5.5 rebounds, while Brandon Ingram is averaging 21.4 points and 5 rebounds. CJ McCollum is the third double-digit scorer and Jonas Valanciunas is grabbing 9.4 rebounds. The New Orleans Pelicans are shooting 37.7 percent from beyond the arc and 76.6 percent from the free throw line. The New Orleans Pelicans are allowing 34.6 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 44.2 rebounds per game.

New Orleans Pelicans Team Facts

  • The Pelicans have lost each of their last eight games when playing with a rest disadvantage against the Heat.
  • The Pelicans have failed to cover the spread in each of their last eight games when playing with a rest disadvantage against the Heat.
  • Each of the Pelicans’ last five home games on the second leg of a back-to-back have gone OVER the total points line.

Miami Heat Team Facts

  • The Heat have won each of their last eight games when playing with a rest advantage against the Pelicans.
  • The Heat have covered the spread in each of their last seven games when playing with a rest advantage against the Pelicans.
  • Eleven of the Heat’s last 12 road games have gone UNDER the total points line.

Miami Heat vs New Orleans Pelicans prediction

The New Orleans Pelicans are on a bit of a heater during this winning streak and should get the benefit of the doubt at home. However, the Heat are as healthy as they’ve been all season with the return of Butler. The Heat have won 5 straight games against the Pelicans and 9 of the last 10 meetings overall. The value is with the Heat in the road underdog role given their health and rest advantages. I’ll grab the free bucket.

Randy Chambers's Free Pick: Miami Heat +3

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Randy Chambers

Randy has covered sports betting since 2014 and writes about everything from NFL to WNBA. Follow Randy Chambers on Twitter.

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