Phoenix Suns (29-33) vs. Denver Nuggets (40-22)
March 7, 2025 10:00 pm EDT
The Line: Denver Nuggets -7.5; Over/Under: 236.5
(Get latest betting odds)
The Phoenix Suns and the Denver Nuggets duke it out at the Ball Arena on Friday night. Here’s a Nuggets vs Suns Prediction. This article will include a Nuggets vs Suns Pick.
Phoenix Suns Betting Preview
The Phoenix Suns have been in poor form as they’ve lost 11 of their last 15 games overall, but they will be eager to build some momentum in this one after outlasting the Clippers in a 119-117 home win on Tuesday. Kevin Durant led the team with 34 points, seven rebounds, and four assists, Devin Booker added 17 points with eight assists, Nick Richards scored 16 points while Mason Plumlee chipped in with 14 points off the bench. As a team, the Suns shot 51 percent from the field and 14 of 34 from the 3-point line as they struggled for most of the game and looked to be in deep trouble when they trailed by 23 points. They came to life with 43 points in the fourth quarter to pull off their best comeback win of the season.
Denver Nuggets Betting Preview
Meanwhile, the Denver Nuggets have been in red-hot form as they’ve won 12 of their last 15 games and they will be eager to stay hot after sneaking past the Kings in a 116-110 home win on Wednesday. Russell Westbrook led the team with 25 points on 10 of 20 shooting, Jamal Murray added 24 points with eight assists while Nikola Jokic tallied 22 points with 15 rebounds and six assists. As a team, the Nuggets shot 46 percent from the field and 12 of 35 from the 3-point line. They got off to a sloppy start and allowed the Kings to pour in 42 points in the first quarter to put the Nuggets behind by 14 points. The Nuggets chipped away and made their move in the fourth quarter where they restricted the Kings to just 17 points to escape with the narrow win at home.
Why the Denver Nuggets will win
- The Nuggets have won each of their last 12 home games against teams that held a losing record.
- The Suns have lost each of their last 12 games as road underdogs.
- The Suns have failed to cover the spread in each of their last eight games against Northwest Division opponents following a win.
- The Nuggets have covered the spread in nine of their last 10 home games against teams that held a losing record.
Why the Phoenix Suns will win
- The Nuggets have lost each of their last two games as favorites following a win.
- The Suns have won 20 of their last 25 games when playing with a rest advantage.
- The Nuggets have failed to cover the spread in seven of their last eight games against Pacific Division opponents that held a losing record.
- The underdogs have covered the spread in each of the Nuggets’ last three games at Ball Arena.
Total Points Facts
- Each of the Suns’ last seven games as underdogs following a home win have gone UNDER the total points line.
- Eighteen of the Nuggets’ last 20 home games against Pacific Division opponents have gone UNDER the total points line.
Nuggets vs Suns Prediction
The Suns could be shorthanded for this one with Bradley Beal currently listed as questionable, while the Nuggets are keeping an eye on Nikola Jokic and Aaron Gordon, who are both questionable. This is definitely one of those games where you should check the lineups before tipoff given the injury cloud hanging over both teams. With that being said, the Nuggets are still better equipped to handle injuries compared to the top
heavy Suns, so at this stage I am still leaning towards the Nuggets to take care of business at home.
