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Pacers vs Heat Prediction 3/29/26 NBA Picks Today

Miami Heat (39-35) vs. Indiana Pacers (16-58)
March 29, 2026 5:00 pm EDT
The Line: Indiana Pacers +9.5; Over/Under: 245.5
(Get latest betting odds)

The Miami Heat and Indiana Pacers meet Sunday in NBA action at the Gainbridge Fieldhouse. Here’s a Pacers vs. Heat Prediction. This article will include a Pacers vs. Heat Pick.

Miami Heat Betting Preview

The Miami Heat lost to the Cavs and beat the Cavs, and they play the 76ers next. The Heat have lost 6 of their last 7 games.

The Miami Heat are averaging 120.3 points on 46.4 percent shooting and allowing 117.7 points on 46.1 percent shooting. Norman Powell is averaging 22.1 points and 3.6 rebounds, while Tyler Herro is averaging 20.9 points and 3.9 assists. Bam Adebayo is the third double-digit scorer, and Andrew Wiggins is grabbing 5 rebounds. The Miami Heat are shooting 35.7 percent from beyond the arc and 79.4 percent from the free-throw line. The Miami Heat are allowing 35.2 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 46.8 rebounds per game.

Indiana Pacers Betting Preview

The Indiana Pacers lost to the Lakers and Clippers, and they play the Bulls next. The Pacers have lost 22 of their last 25 games.

The Indiana Pacers are averaging 111.9 points on 45.6 percent shooting and allowing 120.7 points on 49.1 percent shooting. Pascal Siakam is averaging 23.7 points and 6.6 rebounds, while Andrew Nembhard is averaging 17 points and 2.8 rebounds. Obi Toppin is the third double-digit scorer, and Aaron Nesmith is grabbing 4.4 rebounds. The Indiana Pacers are shooting 35.3 percent from beyond the arc and 77.3 percent from the free-throw line. The Indiana Pacers are allowing 35.6 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 41.7 rebounds per game.

Why the Indiana Pacers will win

  • The Heat have lost six of their last seven games as road favorites against Central Division opponents.
  • The Pacers have won each of their last eight Sunday games against the Heat.
  • The Heat have failed to cover the spread in seven of their last eight games as road favorites against Central Division opponents.
  • The Pacers have covered the spread in each of their last five games.

Why the Miami Heat will win

  • The Pacers have lost each of their last 11 home games.
  • The favorites have won 17 of the Pacers’ last 18 games.
  • The Pacers have failed to cover the spread in each of their last eight Sunday games.
  • The Heat have covered the spread in seven of their last eight games against teams that held a losing record.

Total Points: Facts

  • Nine of the last 10 games between the Heat and Pacers have gone OVER the total points line.
  • Six of the Heat’s last seven games have gone OVER the total points line.

Pacers vs Heat Injury Report

The Pacers will be without Tyrese Haliburton, Johnny Furphy, and Ivica Zubac. Obi Toppin is questionable.

The Heat will be without Terry Rozier. Norman Powell is questionable.

Pacers vs Heat Prediction

The Heat are going to be big favorites because the Pacers stink and their entire roster is on the injury report. I get it. However, the Heat have lost 6 of their last 7 games and despite crying about not wanting to be in the play-in tournament, they keep losing. The Pacers have won 5 of the last 8 games against the Heat, and the underdog has covered 7 of the last 10 meetings. I’m not laying big numbers with a Heat team that has had issues winning consistently, let alone by margin. Give me the points with the Pacers.

Randy Chambers's Free Pick: Indiana Pacers +9.5

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Randy Chambers

Randy has covered sports betting since 2014 and writes about everything from NFL to WNBA. Follow Randy Chambers on Twitter.

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