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Pacers vs Mavericks Prediction 2/22/26 NBA Picks Today

Dallas Mavericks (19-36) vs. Indiana Pacers (15-42)
February 22, 2026 5:00 pm EDT
The Line: Indiana Pacers +1.5; Over/Under: 232.5
(Get latest betting odds)

The Dallas Mavericks and Indiana Pacers meet Sunday in NBA action at the Gainbridge Fieldhouse. Here’s a Pacers vs. Mavericks prediction. This article will include a Pacers vs. Mavericks pick.

Dallas Mavericks Betting Preview

The Dallas Mavericks lost to the Timberwolves and Lakers, and they play the Nets next. The Mavs have lost 10 straight games.

The Dallas Mavericks are averaging 113.9 points on 47.1 percent shooting and allowing 117.4 points on 46.7 percent shooting. Cooper Flagg is averaging 20.4 points and 4.1 assists, while Naji Marshall is averaging 15.1 points and 4.9 rebounds. PJ Washington is the third double-digit scorer, and Max Christie is grabbing 3.4 rebounds. The Dallas Mavericks are shooting 34.2 percent from beyond the arc and 74.7 percent from the free-throw line. The Dallas Mavericks are allowing 33.8 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 44.7 rebounds per game.

Indiana Pacers Betting Preview

The Indiana Pacers beat the Nets, lost to the Wizards, and they play the 76ers next. The Pacers have lost 6 of their last 8 games.

The Indiana Pacers are averaging 111.2 points on 44.9 percent shooting and allowing 118.6 points on 48.3 percent shooting. Pascal Siakam is averaging 23.7 points and 6.7 rebounds, while Andrew Nembhard is averaging 17.4 points and 3 rebounds. Obi Toppin is the third double-digit scorer, and Aaron Nesmith is grabbing 4.8 rebounds. The Indiana Pacers are shooting 34.7 percent from beyond the arc and 76.7 percent from the free-throw line. The Indiana Pacers are allowing 34.6 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 42.7 rebounds per game.

Why the Indiana Pacers will win

  • The Mavericks have lost each of their last 10 games.
  • The Pacers have won each of their last six games at Gainbridge Fieldhouse against Southwest Division opponents that held a losing record.
  • The Mavericks have failed to cover the spread in each of their last seven road games against teams that held a losing record.
  • The underdogs have covered the spread in each of the last five games between the Mavericks and Pacers.

Why the Dallas Mavericks will win

  • The Pacers have lost each of their last eight Sunday games.
  • The Mavericks have won each of their last four games against the Pacers following a road loss.
  • The Pacers have failed to cover the spread in each of their last seven games as home underdogs against Southwest Division opponents following a loss.
  • The road team has covered the spread in each of the last four games between the Mavericks and Pacers.

Total Points Facts

  • Each of the Pacers’ last six home games following a road loss have gone UNDER the total points line.
  • Each of the Mavericks’ last six games as favorites following a road loss have gone UNDER the total points line.

Indiana Pacers Player Facts

  • Jay Huff ranks 1st amongst qualified players for blocks per 36 minutes (3.4) this season.

Dallas Mavericks Player Facts

  • Tyus Jones has recorded 31 games with 1+ assists and zero turnovers this season – most of any player in the league.
  • Klay Thompson ranks 3rd amongst qualified players for three-pointers made per 36 minutes (4.6) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

  • The Pacers rank 1st in the league for opponent three-point field goals made per game this season (11.4).
  • The Pacers rank 30th in the league for offensive rating this season (109.5).
  • The Mavericks rank 1st in the league for opponent three-point percentage this season (33.9%).
  • The Mavericks rank 30th in the league for opponent field goal attempts per game this season (94.3).

Pacers vs Mavericks Injury Report

The Pacers will be without Tyrese Haliburton, Johnny Furphy, Ivica Zubac, Obi Toppin, Pascal Siakam, and Johnny Furphy. Aaron Nesmith, T.J. McConnell, and Micah Potter are questionable.

The Mavericks will be without Kyrie Irving, Cooper Flagg, and Dereck Lively II. Max Christie and Daniel Gafford are questionable.

Pacers vs Mavericks Prediction

It’s weird to see a banged-up bad Mavs team in the favorite role. The Mavericks haven’t won a game since January 22. However, this has more to do with the Pacers, a team that has a CVS receipt for an injury report. At this point the Pacers aren’t fielding an NBA roster. There are better options out there for this packed NBA card, but it’s Mavs or pass for me. The Pacers are playing third-stringers heavy minutes, something even the struggling Mavs should take advantage of.

Randy Chambers's Free Pick: Dallas Mavericks -1.5

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Randy Chambers

Randy has covered sports betting since 2014 and writes about everything from NFL to WNBA. Follow Randy Chambers on Twitter.

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