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Pelicans vs Mavericks Prediction 1/15/25 NBA Picks Today

Dallas Mavericks (22-18) vs. New Orleans Pelicans (9-32)
January 15, 2025 8:00 pm EDT
The Line: New Orleans Pelicans +2.5; Over/Under: 225
(Get latest betting odds)

The Dallas Mavericks and New Orleans Pelicans meet Wednesday in NBA action at the Smoothie King Center. Here’s a Pelicans vs Mavericks Prediction. This article will include a Kansas City Royals vs Mavericks Pick.

Dallas Mavericks Betting Preview

The Dallas Mavericks beat the Trail Blazers, lost to the Nuggets, and they play the Thunder, Hornets, and Timberwolves next. The Dallas Mavericks are averaging 116.1 points on 47.9 percent shooting and allowing 111.9 points on 45.5 percent shooting. Luka Doncic is averaging 28.1 points and 7.8 assists, while Kyrie Irving is averaging 24.3 points and 4.6 rebounds. Klay Thompson is the third double-digit scorer and PJ Washington is grabbing 7.6 rebounds. The Dallas Mavericks are shooting 37.4 percent from beyond the arc and 77.5 percent from the free throw line. The Dallas Mavericks are allowing 35.4 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 44.9 rebounds per game.


New Orleans Pelicans Betting Preview

The New Orleans Pelicans lost to the Celtics, beat the Bulls, and they play the Jazz, Bucks, and Grizzlies next. The New Orleans Pelicans are averaging 107.8 points on 44.2 percent shooting and allowing 117.2 points on 48.4 percent shooting. CJ McCollum is averaging 22.4 points and 3.6 rebounds, while Brandon Ingram is averaging 22.2 points and 5.6 rebounds. Zion Williamson is the third double-digit scorer and Trey Murphy III is grabbing 4.7 rebounds. The New Orleans Pelicans are shooting 34.3 percent from beyond the arc and 76.6 percent from the free throw line. The New Orleans Pelicans are allowing 36.6 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 42.7 rebounds per game.

Why the New Orleans Pelicans will win

  • The underdogs have won three of the Pelicans’ last four games.
  • The Mavericks have lost each of their last four road games.
  • The Mavericks have failed to cover the spread in eight of their last nine games.
  • The underdogs have covered the spread in each of the Pelicans’ last four games.

Why the Dallas Mavericks will win

  • The Pelicans have lost each of their last 10 games against Western Conference opponents.
  • The Mavericks have won 17 of their last 18 games as favorites against Southwest Division opponents following a loss.
  • The Mavericks have covered the spread in 14 of their last 15 road games on the second leg of a back-to-back.
  • The Pelicans have failed to cover the spread in each of their last nine Wednesday games against teams that held a winning record.

New Orleans Pelicans Player Facts

  • Trey Murphy III ranks 2nd amongst qualified players for FT% (92.3%) this season.
  • Yves Missi ranks 10th in the league for second-chance points (114) this season.

Dallas Mavericks Player Facts

  • Kyrie Irving ranks 10th amongst qualified players for 3P% (43.5%) this season.
  • Klay Thompson ranks 12th amongst qualified players for three-pointers made per 36 minutes (3.9) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

  • The New Orleans Pelicans are the only team to lose a home game against the Raptors this season.
  • The Pelicans rank 29th in the league for point differential per game this season (-9.1).
  • The Mavericks rank 2nd in the league for Q4 points per game this season (29.0).
  • The Mavericks rank 3rd in the league for opponent three-point field goal attempts per game this season (35.9).

Pelicans vs Mavericks Injury Report

The Mavs will continue to be without Dante Exum and Luka Doncic. Dereck Lively II sprained his ankle against the Nuggets and is questionable.

The Pelicans will be without Brandon Ingram and Herbert Jones.

Pelicans vs Mavericks Prediction

The Dallas Mavericks got Kyrie back in the mix, but they’re still down Luka and could be down Lively after what happened last night. The New Orleans Pelicans have issues of their own, but they’re as healthy as they’ve been all year and are fresh off a nice win over the Bulls. Home teams usually have the edge when both sides are on the end of a back-to-back, and the Mavs have scored 101 or fewer points in four of their last eight games. The return of Kyrie helps, but the Mavs still aren’t attractive as long as Luka is still out. I’ve faded the Pelicans a ton this year, but them as home dogs in this spot have some value.

Randy Chambers's Free Pick: New Orleans Pelicans +2.5

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Randy Chambers

Randy has covered sports betting since 2014 and writes about everything from NFL to WNBA. Follow Randy Chambers on Twitter.

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